#China_Russia: Putin is using Xi's visit to project to his domestic audience that Russia is not isolated. On the contrary, China is on Moscow’s side. For Xi, the meeting with Putin is a way to show the Chinese public that he counts on Russia to counter the US.⤵️
https://twitter.com/dioniscenusa/status/1637840791623041025
A Russia weakened by sanctions is better for Beijing than one defeated in/by Ukraine with Western military support. China has a double task: a) to avoid a Ukrainian scenario in Taiwan, when the West supports the island to counter China (as they to in relation to Ukraine against⤵️
Russian aggression); b) not letting Russia lose the war because that could basically serve as a lesson to be learned that the West will remind Beijing to deter any major attacks on Taiwan.⤵️
Under the aforementioned urgencies, Xi devised a peace deal that serves to protect Russia's strategic interests, while stopping the war at the cost of Ukraine's territorial integrity.
1) Russian wants to deliver more pipeline gas to China by expanding the capacities of existing pipelines and building; 2) Yuanization could become a growing trend in Russian trade to reduce contagion from US sanctions. In other words, Russia is getting tangled up with China.
Putin after more than 10 hours of talks with Xi: "We outlined the horizons of our partnership, set large-scale, in a good way, daring goals and objectives for the future."⤵️
The argument that Russia becomes a "vassal" or something like that doesn’t sell. Putin wants to survive and he makes tradeoffs that China is gladly accepting because it wants energy redundancy, access to Arctic, support on Taiwan, etc. etc. This is realpolitik.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
