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Mar 30, 2023 7 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Binance Exchange's Health After the CFTC Lawsuit

CQ's research team assessed the behavior of Binance net-outflows and reserves of $BTC, $ETH, and Stablecoins in three recent stress-test periods.
- Regulatory FUD after FTX Collapse
- Paxos' announcement
- CFTC lawsuit

Thread🧵
1/ #Bitcoin

Regulatory FUD
A netflow of -40,353 BTC in a day and total netflows of -78,744 BTC in a week.

Paxos' announcement
The largest daily netflow was on Feb 12th for -5,027 BTC.

CFTC lawsuit
A daily netflow of -4,505 BTC.

They have remained inside historical ranges.
2/ #Ethereum

Regulatory FUD
The highest daily netflow was -278k ETH.

Paxos' announcement
The daily netflow was -79,706 ETH

CFTC lawsuit
A daily netflow of -76,146 ETH

They have remained inside historical ranges.
3/ #Stablecoins

In the case of Stablecoins netflows, On-chain data shows netflows of -$871M on Dec 12th, a daily-high outflow of $671M in February (although total netflows during that month were lower than in Dec 2022), and almost -$1B in March since the CFTC lawsuit.
4/ BTC, ETH #Reserves

$BTC and $ETH reserves have remained at healthy levels even after these periods of high net outflows.
- BTC reserves have grown from 509k in Dec 2022 to 581k currently.
- ETH reserves stand at 4.48M, compared to a low of 4.42M back in Dec 2022.
5/ Stablecoins #Reserves

In the case of stablecoins, reserves at Binance have been decreasing significantly, from $24.5 billion in December to $10.7 billion today. This has been mostly the result of a decrease in $BUSD reserves, which accelerated after Paxos' announcement.
6/ #Exchange #Flows and #Depositing #Transactions

Further assessments on Binance in terms of Exchange-to-Exchange Flows, and User Depositing Transactions are also available on our real-time live dashboards.

@binance @cz_binance

Dashboard👇
cryptoquant.com/analytics/dash…

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Thread🧵
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1/ SSR hits a 2-year high

"In essence, a high SSR(Stablecoin Supply Ratio) means that Bitcoin is perceived as having greater value compared to stablecoins, showing that market participants are placing higher value on Bitcoin."

Quicktake Post by @Woo_Minkyu Image
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Quicktake Post by @joao_wedson Image
Read 6 tweets
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1-3/ Can we verify @Tether_to being the 11th largest #Bitcoin holder with the on-chain data?

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Let's BUST this week's FUDs with our on-chain data.

Thread🧵
1/ #Tether

Tether revealed in its recently released quarterly report that it holds approximately $1.6 billion worth of #Bitcoin.

The amount of bitcoin held by Tether puts it roughly 11th in terms of holdings.
2/ #Tether

If you look at the "so-called Tether #Bitcoin holding wallet on Twitter," it doesn't match the description in Tether's quarterly report. 

While there were no bitcoin holdings in last year's Q4 report, the wallet did start accumulating bitcoin.
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#Bitcoin Institutional Fund Accumulation Trends
by @OnchainTarek

Thread🧵
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Read 5 tweets
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Binance Exchange On-Chain Analysis in the Context of CFTC-SEC-Binance Lawsuit Cases

On a nominal basis, Binance has experienced large net outflows of Bitcoin and Ethereum after today's SEC lawsuit announcement.

Details on the thread🧵
1/4
These net outflows are more significant than when the CFTC sued the exchange in March 2023. However, net outflows so far are smaller than what the exchange has experienced in other periods of "stress" (or regulatory FUD).
$BTC, $ETH, $Stablecoins ImageImageImage
2/4
Moreover, these net outflows are small relative to the level of reserves in the exchange.
In the case of stablecoins(ERC20), reserves at Binance have been decreasing significantly, from $24.5B in Dec. 2022 to $8.2B. This has been mostly the result of a decrease in $BUSD. ImageImageImageImage
Read 5 tweets

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