One of the Global South's leading voices, 🇧🇷 Lula, is in #China.
Prof. Cheng Yawen argues that "🇨🇳 and develop. countries need to break the current core-periphery world order" and build a new international system free from Western interference.
🔹The Author: Cheng Yawen (程亚文) – Researcher at the School of International Relations and Public Affairs, Shanghai International Studies University.
🔹 Summary of Cheng's views:
1⃣ US-led globalisation and capitalism drove #NATO's eastward expansion. This, in turn, has been the “main reason” behind #Russia’s offensive in #Ukraine.
2⃣ Western-style globalisation is coming to an end.
3⃣ #China’s rise is threatening the current US-led international order whose rules have been designed to benefit the West.
4⃣ The #UkraineRussiaWar️ has laid bare the West's intent to unite in order to suppress non-Western countries – China and Russia in particular. The #UnitedStates has made clear that “it will not rest until China is defeated”.
5⃣ The West’s decoupling from China is set to accelerate and will continue “for a long time to come”. China’s being hit in its turn by Russia-like sanctions remains a possibility.
6⃣ 🇨🇳 should thus “create a new internat. environment conducive to safeguarding 🇨🇳 nat. security and long-term develop.” It should do so by reassessing “🇨🇳 past tradition of multilateralism” and by shifting its diplomatic focus away from the West towards the Global South (+🇷🇺).
7⃣ This, however, does not mean completely shunning the West. Engaging and even developing cooperative relations with western countries should continue whenever possible.
8⃣ China should categorise its diplomatic relations with the world into “3 rings” and prioritise these as follows: 1. East Asia, Central Asia + the Middle East; 2. Other developing countries in Asia, Africa, and Latin America; 3. Europe, the US and other industrialised countries.
9⃣ To foster this change, China should:
a) Encourage the emergence of a new international payment system, promote the internationalisation of the RMB and provide support for currencies other than the USD (such as the euro).
b) Upgrade the New Development Bank and Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank.
c) Establish a common energy market and payment network with other Asian countries (incl. the Middle East)
d) Strengthen both financial and security cooperation with other Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) members and Iran.
e) Deepen East Asia’s (as understood in its broadest sense) economic integration.
f) De-emphasise growth-driven strategies in favour of political and security-related ones. This will help reduce Western interference in the region.
g) Use the BRICS as a catalyst for South-South cooperation.
🔟 Quote: “The emergence of a new world-system and the deepening of South-South cooperation will allow China to enter the forefront of the world economy and politics.”
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🚨 JUST OUT: Part Two of a must-read interview on #Trump, #India and #China in 2049 with up-and-coming analyst Mao Keji (毛克疾) from 🇨🇳's influential National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC).
[KEY POINTS] 🧵
📍If one were to define a nationalist as someone who is profoundly loyal to their country, places its interests above other countries and holds a strong belief in its distinct political and civilisational strengths, if not superiority, then Mao Keji fits that description.
▫️Mao Keji's views in 10 key points:
1⃣ #DonaldTrump's rise to power highlights that 🇺🇸 retains a strong capacity for course correction.
First reactions from 🇨🇳 to the #ZelenskyTrump debacle are emerging.
This one comes from Shen Yi (沈逸), Director of Fudan University's National Security Research Centre, and a highly popular nationalist opinion leader (+ propagandist).
[KEY POINTS] 🧵
▫️Interestingly, Shen places part of the blame on Zelensky:
"#Zelenskyy directly confronted #Trump and #Vance in front of the media ... Zelensky chose to interrupt Vance's speech and raised a series of questions that, in theory, should have been discussed behind closed doors."
▫️Shen continues:
"From the perspective of negotiation strategy and game theory, this indicates that Zelensky had neither interest nor confidence in the current agreement or negotiations with the #USA from the outset."
1⃣ Having overcome the challenges of “receiving beatings” (挨打) and "enduring starvation" (挨饿) under Mao and Deng, #China must now address the issue of "taking flak" (挨饿).
“Both #DonaldTrump and #Vance have publicly stated that the #USA should ‘join hands with #Russia’ to counter China. If such a situation arises, China’s security environment would deteriorate drastically.”
2⃣ Yan Xuetong:
“Is it good for the #UnitedStates to provoke a third military conflict in East Asia? It is in trouble both at home and abroad. So why would #Trump follow Biden’s policies and get himself into the same trouble?”
1⃣ #India's foreign policy has flourished under #Narendra_Modi, but its “adventurism”, “opportunism” and double-dealing have been sources of growing diplomatic tensions.
1⃣ After “peak China”, Chinese “debt trap diplomacy”, China’s “new imperialism” and so on, the concept of “Chinese overcapacity” is merely the newest rhetorical weapon used by the West to undermine #China’s rise.