Fact Finder, The 🇮🇳 Profile picture
May 19, 2023 9 tweets 7 min read Read on X
THIS IS #BIG ! #Hawala 2.0 Will EXPLODE in India post JULY 1st. Just My opinion:

By IMPLEMENTING 20% Tax Collected On Source (#TCS) on Foreign Spend (Currency, FX cards, Credit Cards, Debit Cards, Transfers), it becomes Increasingly more Cost Effective to Transfer Via #Hawala Image
If you try and BUY #Foreign Currency in the Black, that spread that used to be 2-3%, will now become 10% possibly

Unused Balances of Loaded Forex Cards will Go at a Premium of 10-12% Image
This REMINDS me of what happened in GOLD SMUGGLING in India post June 2022 when @nsitharaman decided to Raise IMPORT duty on GOLD to 12.5% from previous levels of 7.5% ImageImage
Now the Total #Tax on GOLD becomes almost 18.45%.

As soon as this #GOLD Import DUTY hike got announced, #WorldGoldCouncil published - report saying that #GOLD #SMUGGLING will EXPLODE since it becomes very profitable to BUY in Black vs Formal which is 15% More Expensive ImageImage
Back in 2016, the GOVT RAISED the #PAN Requirement for #GOLD & #jewellery purchase from INR 50k to INR 200k. The limit for Mutual Funds, Insurance, Cash Deposits etc is INR 50k. Why will they RAISE the LIMIT on GOLD & JEWELLERY ago INR 200k
Let’s SUMMARISE

1) 20% Tax Collected at Source #TCS will revive #Hawala in a big way

2) GOLD Import Duty Hike in July 2022 resulted in HIGHER GOLD SMUGGLING

3) Raising the #PAN card Threshold on GOLD & JEWELLERY purchase to INR 200k implies REDUCED Disclosure of PURCHASE
This is just a view. It sounds logical to me. If my understanding is wrong, am happy to be corrected.
Now how does International Smuggling happen?

VIA ENTRY POINTS to India …. PORTS & AIRPORTS

Who owns all these ?

🤔😜

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More from @TheFactFindr

Apr 2
#BREAKING !! #Internal Opinion Polls of #BJPee

#ModiKiGuarantee is that @BJP4India is loosing #Election2024

Multiple intelligence agencies did surveys on behalf of the BJP govt.

The results are:
1. BJP is estimated to win 190-220 seats ✅

12 other key take always below Image
2. Modi's image is not the marketing USP anymore. ✅
3. Ram Mandir is not a selling point anymore. ✅
Read 14 tweets
Mar 25
People are asking WHY DID #INR to fall so sharply on FRIDAY to 83.64/USD?

A quick 🧵 explaining why …#RBI Image
Who BENEFITS most when INR Depreciates?

✅It’s Financial Year end and @RBI has PROFIT targets & DIVIDEND targets of 120,000 Crores to pay Govt of India

✅ when INR Depreciates (#USDINR Rises), @RBI makes profits since it’s ASSETS are USD BONDS/GOLD & it’s LIABILITIES is INR
✅ When #INR depreciates (#USDINR rises), EXPORTS become competitive and IMPORTS become cheaper

✅ When #INR Depreciates, The BIGGEST component of GST (IGST of GST) grows faster since IGST is levied on IMPORTS, Basic & Intermediate Raw Materials, Inventory
Read 12 tweets
Oct 1, 2023
#NRI #Remittances will not only #COLLAPSE but they could reverse

A quick thread with implications for the #INR Image
#NRI #Remittances will not only collapse but they could reverse as outflows unless the DEPOSIT Rates offered by Indian Banks to NRIs are at-least 6-7% $ Rates
Today the US Rates are
1) 4.7% on the US 10yr
2) Investment Grade US bonds offer $6.5%
3) MBS Securities offer $7% at-least
4) US High Yield Bonds are offering $8-9% pa

Compared to that FCNR deposits are at just 5.5-5.8%
Read 7 tweets
May 29, 2023
#Genius #MasterStroke 81,000 Cr LOSS/yr

CANNOT MAKE THIS SHIT UP!

Govt Introduces a #POLICY estm to SAVE Rs 36,000 Cr/Yr in #Forex

BUT To SAVE Rs 36000 Crore, the Govt & Indian Public are SPENDING 300% or 117000 Crores more 😳

= 81,000 Cr LOSS/yr

#Thread on A #MasterStroke
#Modinomics decided in 2020/21 to Introduce the 20% #Ethanol Blending (Petrol) Policy.

Intention of the Policy designed by the @NITIAyog was to save India Rs36,000 in FOREX & help the Environment

Link to the document niti.gov.in/sites/default/… Image
BUT AT WHAT COST ?

FIRST: Every litre of Ethanol, Govt India will lose Rs15-20 in Tax Collections since:
👉Cost of Procuring PETROL is Rs45/lt
👉Cost of Procurement of ETHANOL is Rs65/Lt

👉Difference is Rs20/lt is LOSS IN TAX REVENUE

1020cr Ethanol = 20400cr in Tax Losses/Yr ImageImage
Read 21 tweets
May 28, 2023
#SHOCKING #CRICKET

@BCCI is the #WORLDS #RICHEST CRICKET board (Valuation: Rs16500cr, Income: Rs3900cr)

Has NOT PUBLISHED its #ANNUAL #REPORT post FY17.

BUT that is NOT the Shocking Part, Read the #Thread

#CRICKET is a #RELIGION in India & #TRANSPARENCY should be Foremost Image
As per the FY17 Annual Report, @BCCI paid an INTEREST Cost of Rs115 Cr (400% YoY) while it’s INTEREST Income of Rs171 Cr (Fell 2% YoY).

BUT WHY were they paying 171Cr of Interest Costs when they had a CASH BALANCE of 3770 Cr (3560 Cr in FY16) ? ImageImage
Read 4 tweets
May 27, 2023
#UncommonSense
UK/US NRIs & Top 2% Indian Residents (30 Mn Income Earners > Rs6lac/per yr) praise #Medical #Facilities in India especially ability to Approach Specialists Directly

Driving though PUNE/MUM/BLR & reaching Hospital in time in a Medical Emergency is Impossible
These people generally forget that when they compare themselves to the US/UK NRIs vs the Indians in India… one is comparing the Avg US/UK citizen with the Top 2% in India

Let me explain
(1) For Indian hospitals in Major Metros in India average revenue per occupied bed (ARPOB) is Rs65k > 50% Annual Revenue for 60% of Indian population
Read 6 tweets

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