Fact Finder, The 🇮🇳 Profile picture
May 19, 2023 9 tweets 7 min read Read on X
THIS IS #BIG ! #Hawala 2.0 Will EXPLODE in India post JULY 1st. Just My opinion:

By IMPLEMENTING 20% Tax Collected On Source (#TCS) on Foreign Spend (Currency, FX cards, Credit Cards, Debit Cards, Transfers), it becomes Increasingly more Cost Effective to Transfer Via #Hawala Image
If you try and BUY #Foreign Currency in the Black, that spread that used to be 2-3%, will now become 10% possibly

Unused Balances of Loaded Forex Cards will Go at a Premium of 10-12% Image
This REMINDS me of what happened in GOLD SMUGGLING in India post June 2022 when @nsitharaman decided to Raise IMPORT duty on GOLD to 12.5% from previous levels of 7.5% ImageImage
Now the Total #Tax on GOLD becomes almost 18.45%.

As soon as this #GOLD Import DUTY hike got announced, #WorldGoldCouncil published - report saying that #GOLD #SMUGGLING will EXPLODE since it becomes very profitable to BUY in Black vs Formal which is 15% More Expensive ImageImage
Back in 2016, the GOVT RAISED the #PAN Requirement for #GOLD & #jewellery purchase from INR 50k to INR 200k. The limit for Mutual Funds, Insurance, Cash Deposits etc is INR 50k. Why will they RAISE the LIMIT on GOLD & JEWELLERY ago INR 200k
Let’s SUMMARISE

1) 20% Tax Collected at Source #TCS will revive #Hawala in a big way

2) GOLD Import Duty Hike in July 2022 resulted in HIGHER GOLD SMUGGLING

3) Raising the #PAN card Threshold on GOLD & JEWELLERY purchase to INR 200k implies REDUCED Disclosure of PURCHASE
This is just a view. It sounds logical to me. If my understanding is wrong, am happy to be corrected.
Now how does International Smuggling happen?

VIA ENTRY POINTS to India …. PORTS & AIRPORTS

Who owns all these ?

🤔😜

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More from @TheFactFindr

Jul 4
FACT CHECKING INDIAN ARMY …. On the #AgniveerScheme #Agnipath #Agniveers

A THREAD 🧵
Quoting INDIAN ARMY @adgpi …. “Of the total amount due, family of Agniveer Ajay has already been paid Rs 98.39 lakhs”

INDIAN ARMY is making it sound that they paid 98.39 lakhs

TRUTH IS this 98.39 lakhs has been paid via 2 Insurance Policies (Self Sponsored & State Govt)
Let’s Check the Facts …. GOVT till date has ONLY paid Rs39,000 … Rest is all INSURANCE Image
Read 6 tweets
Apr 2
#BREAKING !! #Internal Opinion Polls of #BJPee

#ModiKiGuarantee is that @BJP4India is loosing #Election2024

Multiple intelligence agencies did surveys on behalf of the BJP govt.

The results are:
1. BJP is estimated to win 190-220 seats ✅

12 other key take always below Image
2. Modi's image is not the marketing USP anymore. ✅
3. Ram Mandir is not a selling point anymore. ✅
Read 14 tweets
Mar 25
People are asking WHY DID #INR to fall so sharply on FRIDAY to 83.64/USD?

A quick 🧵 explaining why …#RBI Image
Who BENEFITS most when INR Depreciates?

✅It’s Financial Year end and @RBI has PROFIT targets & DIVIDEND targets of 120,000 Crores to pay Govt of India

✅ when INR Depreciates (#USDINR Rises), @RBI makes profits since it’s ASSETS are USD BONDS/GOLD & it’s LIABILITIES is INR
✅ When #INR depreciates (#USDINR rises), EXPORTS become competitive and IMPORTS become cheaper

✅ When #INR Depreciates, The BIGGEST component of GST (IGST of GST) grows faster since IGST is levied on IMPORTS, Basic & Intermediate Raw Materials, Inventory
Read 12 tweets
Oct 1, 2023
#NRI #Remittances will not only #COLLAPSE but they could reverse

A quick thread with implications for the #INR Image
#NRI #Remittances will not only collapse but they could reverse as outflows unless the DEPOSIT Rates offered by Indian Banks to NRIs are at-least 6-7% $ Rates
Today the US Rates are
1) 4.7% on the US 10yr
2) Investment Grade US bonds offer $6.5%
3) MBS Securities offer $7% at-least
4) US High Yield Bonds are offering $8-9% pa

Compared to that FCNR deposits are at just 5.5-5.8%
Read 7 tweets
May 29, 2023
#Genius #MasterStroke 81,000 Cr LOSS/yr

CANNOT MAKE THIS SHIT UP!

Govt Introduces a #POLICY estm to SAVE Rs 36,000 Cr/Yr in #Forex

BUT To SAVE Rs 36000 Crore, the Govt & Indian Public are SPENDING 300% or 117000 Crores more 😳

= 81,000 Cr LOSS/yr

#Thread on A #MasterStroke
#Modinomics decided in 2020/21 to Introduce the 20% #Ethanol Blending (Petrol) Policy.

Intention of the Policy designed by the @NITIAyog was to save India Rs36,000 in FOREX & help the Environment

Link to the document niti.gov.in/sites/default/… Image
BUT AT WHAT COST ?

FIRST: Every litre of Ethanol, Govt India will lose Rs15-20 in Tax Collections since:
👉Cost of Procuring PETROL is Rs45/lt
👉Cost of Procurement of ETHANOL is Rs65/Lt

👉Difference is Rs20/lt is LOSS IN TAX REVENUE

1020cr Ethanol = 20400cr in Tax Losses/Yr ImageImage
Read 21 tweets
May 28, 2023
#SHOCKING #CRICKET

@BCCI is the #WORLDS #RICHEST CRICKET board (Valuation: Rs16500cr, Income: Rs3900cr)

Has NOT PUBLISHED its #ANNUAL #REPORT post FY17.

BUT that is NOT the Shocking Part, Read the #Thread

#CRICKET is a #RELIGION in India & #TRANSPARENCY should be Foremost Image
As per the FY17 Annual Report, @BCCI paid an INTEREST Cost of Rs115 Cr (400% YoY) while it’s INTEREST Income of Rs171 Cr (Fell 2% YoY).

BUT WHY were they paying 171Cr of Interest Costs when they had a CASH BALANCE of 3770 Cr (3560 Cr in FY16) ? ImageImage
Read 4 tweets

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