Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
May 20, 2023 9 tweets 5 min read Read on X
1. As I had guessed, the attack near the airport in Mariupol killed 150 Russian troops in these buildings. Ukraine has begun to strike Russian forces forming in large numbers to be sent to Bakhmut as the battle for control continues amid the failing Russian flanks. Image
2. Ukraine has begun to focus on destroying rail lines supplying Russian forces in southern Ukraine. Today Ukraine used a small drone swarm to strike near the Russian rail hub at ##Dzhankoi in northern #Crimea causing a derailment on the critical rail line. Image
3. This followed a claimed sabotage attack on a rail line further south in Crimea near #Simferopol at #Chystenke that also caused a derailment. Image
4. A Ukrainian intelligence spokesperson publicaly stated that they would focus on Russian rail systems supplying Russian forces that sent panic in Russian command perhaps because another derailment was reported in #Krasnoyarsk region deep in the heart of Russian territory. ImageImage
5. After the US supplied #Patriot systems shot down Russia's invincible #Kinzhal #hypersonic missiles the Kremlin arrested three Russian scientists on charges of treason for allegedly leaking critical data that made the missiles less invincible than the Kremlin had claimed. Image
6. On #Bakhmut, some maps show Russian forces in control of the western part of the city but there's curiously nothing on the large Russian media sites to confirm it. Twitter propaganda accounts are saying that Bakhmut is in Russian control but because, as reported yesterday,
7. Ukraine may have withdrawn during artillery barrages to then return, I'll wait for some confirmation from Ukrainian official sources before reporting on the status. No new updates on the status of the flanking operations that Ukraine advanced in recent days.
8. A strategic goal in Ukraine's stubborn defense of Bakhmut has been to draw Russian forces from other areas to shore up the Bakhmut flanks. From today's reports that objective has been accomplished as Russia appears to be moving forces to hold a city that is being surrounded.
9. Adding to my uncertainty, I've seen reports Wagner is withdrawing. Prigozhin said he would and there's unconfirmed reporting he's pulling out, headed for #Sudan. This all amid reports Russian units are rushing there. Perhaps Ukraine stepped back for his excuse to disengage.

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More from @TimInHonolulu

Nov 3
1. I have supported a two-state solution to the conflict in #Palestine for my entire life. I agree that #Netanyahu's conduct of the war in #Gaza violated the the law of armed conduct and could support charges of #genocide. I don't believe that #Arab and
2. other #Muslim Americans' lives will be somehow improved if #Trump is elected.
Political power comes from coalitions. Working on campaigns, being reliable partners when the call comes is how my #Irish ancestors gained political power.
3. Using threats to not vote as leverage against the only party that protects you only serves to isolate your vital growing part of the electorate from becoming a powerful voice in American politics. We support you. It's now time for you to support the cause.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 2
1. It’s been eight years since Comey dropped his October surprise. When I witnessed what he did, I knew Hillary was going to lose. Her historic negatives, closeness to election day and a massive Kremlin-run sock-puppet army combined with the fact that it dropped
2. too close to the election for Hillary to have time to recover. I began working on life under the fascist creature before the election day in 2016 and I’m still working. It's 100 hours to D-Day and this time, in sharp contrast to 2016, I have zero anxiety.
3. I’ve looked at the fundamentals, the closing arguments and the nature of the electorate engagement and I don't see any signs Trump is actually going to win. When a candidate threatens to arrest and shoot their detractors it generally makes polls unreliable.
Read 9 tweets
Oct 28
1. What's Trump's long game where he appears to have given up trying to win? Moving further to extreme right is insanity in this close race. Why would he do that? I think the facts we currently have strongly suggest he's being bribed most likely by Putin with Musk as an agent.
2. His mission is to destroy America. He showed us today what it will look like. He's preparing his brown shirts to once again take to violence. Damaged people like Mike Johnson who looks like an a Kompromat victim is going to help. But this isn't 2021.
3. Trump no longer controls any levers of the executive branch that gave him the means to attempt a coup. Trump is on felony post-conviction release in NY and under terms of release in DC. Criminal conduct after the election exposes him to loss of liberty. So what's his plan?
Read 7 tweets
Oct 19
What Trump and his big money supporters don't get is, if there's a plan to commit crimes to overturn this election & funders & others know of the illegal purpose & agree to it, all it takes is one overt act by one conspirator to trigger criminal conspiracy liability for all.
Their criminal exposure doesn't await the outcome of the election and the execution of the plan. Their crimes were already committed when they agreed. It's obvious what Trump is planning. Imagine he's a bank robber who is awaiting trial for robbing a certain bank.
While on pretrial release he makes clear he's going to rob the same bank again. What do you think the police are going to do? Now add that the biggest funder is building rockets that Putin and the Russian military fear. Luring him into a crime that destroys him and his rocket
Read 5 tweets
Oct 13
1. I tried to check something on the WayBack @internetarchive and Murphy's Law dictated it would be down. I wanted to see where @jontester was polling six years ago. Trump tried really hard to unseat him in 2018. He failed. Image
2. I have always joined lost causes. I have one religious item that I treasure. It's my St. Jude medal. The patron Saint of lost causes. I bought the day the RedSox played game 4 of the ALCS against the Yankees in 2004. I think there are MT voters out there who can be reached.
3. I posted this after trying to steer @KamalaHarris away from going after @JoeBiden in 2019. Since the day I first learned of her I knew she could be the one. In the 2020 run I also knew that only Joe Biden could gather the support to defeat the Kremlin-backed fascist. Image
Read 11 tweets
Sep 29
1. The GOP has already tried a blanket tariff program, one that led to the global economic collapse of the Great Depression. .

In my view, Trump's call to repeat this insanity is likely beingen.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smoot–Haw…
2. directed by the Kremlin because Russia does not export goods and needs to destroy the Western economies to level its strategic playing field. If we are concealing Trump's communications with Putin, in my view, we are engaged in dangerous meddling in the
3. US election. Simply stated, the US voters have a right to know if Trump is working with our adversaries. If no intercepts exist fine. But if we have proof that this insane tariff proposal was put in Trump's demented brain by the Kremlin, @JoeBiden should declassify
Read 5 tweets

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