A few thoughts on the leaked intelligence report covered by @CNN:
-Iran’s key nuke sites and materials are likely entombed for now—asset recovery will likely require extensive Iranian excavation efforts.
-Israel and the U.S. could stop such efforts via additional targeted strikes, such as the one Israel took against the Iranian recovery team heading to Fordow.
-They can massage the cease-fire issue as a need to take further limited strikes to ensure Iran can’t engage in asset recovery.
-If centrifuges managed to survive at Fordow, they are likely seriously damaged from MOP shock waves being delicate machinery. The IAEA agrees.
-HEU canisters might survive at Fordow and Esfahan, but again, this can be dealt with militarily or through targeted intell/sabotage efforts. 🔗
-Iran’s key nuke sites and materials are likely entombed for now—asset recovery will likely require extensive Iranian excavation efforts.
-Israel and the U.S. could stop such efforts via additional targeted strikes, such as the one Israel took against the Iranian recovery team heading to Fordow.
-They can massage the cease-fire issue as a need to take further limited strikes to ensure Iran can’t engage in asset recovery.
-If centrifuges managed to survive at Fordow, they are likely seriously damaged from MOP shock waves being delicate machinery. The IAEA agrees.
-HEU canisters might survive at Fordow and Esfahan, but again, this can be dealt with militarily or through targeted intell/sabotage efforts. 🔗
See two battle damage assessments here:
https://twitter.com/strickernonpro/status/1937300681469415853
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