WeedFarmer Profile picture
Ex Bank Risk Quant. 7 figure investor:⛰⛏ ,🛢️,⛽️. All my opinions obviously, never any investment advice given. Husband | Father. 👉🏾Retweets≠Agreements
Rich Profile picture 1 subscribed
Mar 13, 2023 16 tweets 3 min read
🧵1

So many posts/tweets/articles about the $SIVB meltdown but no one is explaining/breaking it down for the masses to understand.

Firstly, Silicon Valley Bank Was The Largest Banking Failure Since The Global Financial Crisis In 2008. 🧵2
The bottom line of the collapse was due to poor risk-mgmt. Instead of just buying short-dated T-bills or depositing with the Federal Reserve they bought long-duration fixed-income securities. This caused an asset-liability mismatch —> liquidity issues —> bank run —> collapse
Oct 10, 2022 25 tweets 8 min read
My updated NAV model:

Company: @ElectraBMC
Sector: #Materials #Refining #Mining
Ticker: $ELBM
CEO: @TrentMell
Recycling Peers: $ABML $LICY
Refining Peers: None (domestically)

#Cobalt #Manganese #Graphite #Nickel #Lithium #Aluminum #BlackMass #EV
*I'm Long-Bullish|Not advice* Image Alternative forward looking valuation multiples (EV to EBITDA & Sales) Image
Oct 7, 2022 24 tweets 6 min read
Good evening,

I’m sharing one of my NAV modeling (cashflow) results.🧵

Company: Permian Resource Corporation
Sector: O&G
Ticker: $PR (NYSE)
Current SP: $9.04
My Estimated NAV: $18.06
Peers: $SM $CPE $CTRA $DVN $FANG $MTDR $PDCE

*Not investment advice*
#WTI #Brent #Permian #POM Image Production/Decline Assumptions Image