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2/ #ERNESTO is currently a large Category 1 hurricane, with max winds of 75 knots, or 140 km/h. Its large size is slowing its intensification, however it means that impacts will be felt over a wide area.
This is only ONE of several possible solutions. The other two major global models (GFS and CMC) show solutions that are either weaker (CMC) or much farther east (GFS). 



I'm sure lots of you would have had all kinds of guesses, but I am also sure none of you would have had "an island off the Eastern Shore" as your answer.
Next: there's lots of rising motion over the Indian Ocean (green colour) and sinking motion over the Eastern Pacific (red colour).