Editor https://t.co/Ajt29HLgw4
Interested in accurate, traceable and independent research.
Since 22 January 2020 tweeting mainly about the #COVID19 pandemic
Mar 10, 2020 • 7 tweets • 4 min read
🔎NEW #COVID19 ANALYSIS!
Today I came up with an idea to use existing data in a new way, and I'll start with my findings right away:
European countries are NOT detecting the vast majority of cases. The actual amount of cases in Europe is likely 3 to 7 times higher. I'll explain:
What I did is calculate the current ratios for South Korea, Italy, France and Spain, in three categories: 1) Confirmed cases (=people with #COVID19) / people on intensive care 2) People on intensive care with COVID / people who died due to COVID 3) Confirmed cases / COVID deaths
Feb 6, 2020 • 9 tweets • 5 min read
IN DEPTH: FORECASTING #Wuhan#CoronaVirus
This will be a long/deep tweet serie, but it's very important, not only for traders.
First, I'll explain why stocks in Europa and US are going up, almost ignoring 2019-nCoV, and second I'll explain what the investors are missing. (1/9)
.. All market research firms are following the #Coronavirus very closely and many of them are expecting the #Coronavirus to slow down. They do this by studying the actual reported numbers (just like I'm doing here), rather than going by R0-models: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
(2/9)
