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Jan 20
This is unprecedented:

If President Trump acquires Greenland and "controls" Venezuela, the US would gain control of 1.2 MILLION square miles of land.

This is ~42% larger than the Louisiana Purchase, the largest US acquisition ever.

What's next? Let us explain.

(a thread) Image
It was an incredibly busy weekend.

On Saturday, Trump announced new 10% tariffs on eight European countries amid his push for Greenland.

Trump says these tariffs rise to 25% on June 1st.

They will remain until a deal is reached for "complete and total purchase of Greenland.โ€ Image
The result was a series of escalations on the trade front and the EU threatening to retaliate.

Now, the EU Parliament is looking to end the 2025 US-EU trade deal.

Trump proceeded to double down, saying US acquiring Greenland is "imperative for national and world security." Image
Read 12 tweets
Jan 20
1).
โ€žWhat @realDonaldTrump is directly threatening in his letter, and has been threatening for some time now, is a willingness to break with Europe over the desire to play conquest over a territory the U.S. already had broad access to,
2).
under the guise of international security concerns that are undermined by virtually every other action taken by his administration.
3).
โ€“ ยปItโ€™s bullshit, multi-layered bullshitยซ โ€“ @NGrossman81, [1] [2] [3] political science professor at the University of Illinois and editor of the Arc Digital newsletter, tells Rolling Stone.
Read 8 tweets
Jan 20
๐ŸงตA vote is coming to send more taxpayer dollars to the refugee program. Donโ€™t be fooled. Appropriators know the public opposes this, so theyโ€™ll likely hide it in a CR. Sunlight is the only way to stop it.
After the Somali fraud exposed billions being siphoned off, Washingtonโ€™s answer isโ€ฆ more money? A program meant to help the vulnerable was looted for years.ย Why would any Republican senator vote to refill a program that was just ripped off?
They hope you wonโ€™t notice. Thatโ€™s why this will be buried in a continuing resolution. But voters deserve to know who is willing to keep funding a system proven corrupt.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 20
There's much less focus on China's rental real estate market, but it's pretty interesting. Rents have fallen in recent years. This chart shows a modest 6.5% drop in rental prices from mid-2021 through 2024. Image
Price drops accelerated in 2024, and the article's explanation in a mixture of general economic conditions, but also the build-out of ไฟ้šœๆ€ง็งŸ่ตไฝๆˆฟ, or ไฟ็งŸๆˆฟ, affordable rental housing is how I see it translated. Image
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This affordable rental housing is directly aimed at youth and migrants, and is funded by policy banks. Not a huge number of apartments, but not insignificant either. Image
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Read 7 tweets
Jan 20
The 11th Airborne Division is the least likely to be used to invade #Greenland.
The division's deputy commander is Canadian. He is responsible for Operations. The 11th would have to arrest part of their own officers, before being able to plan a Greenland invasion.
Also
1/6
there are just 8 C-17 Globemaster aircraft at Elmendorf Air Force Base. The USAF would need to fly a dozen more up to Alaska, which of course Canada would notice. Then to reach Greenland the C-17 would have to cross Canada's North, which NORAD's Canadian officers would report
2/6
to the Canadian and Danish governments.

It is much more likely the US will inform allies that a brigade of the 82nd Airborne Division at Fort Bragg will fly to the Middle East, which means the air route will take them right over Greenland. And at Fort Bragg you also have the
3/6
Read 6 tweets
Jan 20
Lavrov: Russia and China have no plans to seize Greenland.

The US is well aware of it.

Even in the West, the threat to Greenland from Russia and China is already being refuted.

1/
Lavrov: Zelenskyy and Europe are hysterically trying to impose the idea of a ceasefire in Ukraine on the US.

We hope that the provisions discussed in Alaska remain in force.

[Peace talks canโ€™t go right when the situation on the battlefield is unstable. Ukraine wants peace]

2/
Lavrov: In Davos, European leaders are again trying to push Trump toward approaches that have already failed and discredited themselves.

They talk about stopping the war and providing security guarantees โ€” but only for what would remain of Ukraine.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Jan 20
@RonFilipkowski @davidfrum 1).
โ€žMr. @realDonaldTrump's hunger for wealth is brazen. Throughout the nationโ€™s history, presidents of both parties have taken care to avoid even the appearance of profiting from public service.
@RonFilipkowski @davidfrum @realDonaldTrump 2).
This president gleefully squeezes American corporations, flaunts gifts from foreign governments and celebrates the rapid growth of his own fortune.
@RonFilipkowski @davidfrum @realDonaldTrump 3).
When President Harry Truman (1884โ€“1972) left office in 1953, he did not even own a car. He and his wife returned to Missouri by train and lived for a time on his Army pension [1].
Read 12 tweets
Jan 20
NEW: Canadaโ€™s Armed Forces have modelled a hypothetical U.S. invasion scenario for the first time in over a century, senior officials say. The exercise explores how Canada might respond if conventional defence collapses including insurgency-style tactics. Image
1/Officials stress this is not an operational war plan but a theoretical model. A U.S. attack is considered highly unlikely, and military cooperation with Washington, including NORAD, remains intact. Still, the modelling reflects a shift in threat perception not seen in decades.
2/The scenario assumes U.S. forces could overwhelm Canada quickly, forcing resistance through sabotage, drones, ambushes and irregular warfare similar to Afghanistan or Ukraine. Planners believe occupying Canada would be far harder than defeating it militarily.
Read 6 tweets
Jan 20
Fox News: Rabbi Chaim Mentz explains that for 2,000 years, history shows attacks often begin with Jewish people due to persistent tropes, making them an easy target. He warns that this escalates as groups chant slogans like "from the river to the sea," accuse genocide, and
1)
turn public opinion against Jews, ultimately transforming cities and countries into Muslim-majority areas through conquest rather than peaceful integration. Mentz lists countries like Morocco, Sudan, Egypt, Jordan,
2)
and Lebanon as examples of past conquests, urging vigilance against similar agendas in Europe and the United States.
3)
Read 4 tweets
Jan 20
That is his perspective as he sees it affecting his biz.
Beyond the loss of trade which is impossible unless they want to buy their oils and gas from Greta, Europe in such a conflict would absolutely destroy the euro, total annihilation, and, as the RMB is quickly eating the Euro (except in intra Europe trade that is all euro denominated and the only viable market for its currency.
In Africa - where the Euro is still a strong regional reserve currency, it would once and for all end Europeโ€™s ability to extract Africaโ€™s wealth.
Ten of millions more immigrants would flood Europe so fast your head would spin.
A bankrupt euro that amcsnnot outbid the US for agri; minerals, food, military supplies is a great thing.
All Europe wealth is relocating to Asiaโ€™s mid east, India and LatAm.
Wipe cannot afford to hold either RMB or Rupee and their worthless money would have to peg to dollar.
Why is this a bad thing?
๐Ÿšจ I should add to my typo ridden tweet, that China and Russia used Ukraine to economically, militarily & emotionally exhaust Europe the way America used Afghanistan to deplete Russia

Europe cannot, in no way shape or form, stay solvent.

Like it or not, Euope is being USSRโ€™d.
In simple terms, to get back to par, where Europe was 20 years ago, will cost trillions of dollars. Just revivifying its nuke programs/plants/infrastructure/grid will cost tens and tens of billions of dollars and thatโ€™s assuming the legislation even allows it - and it will at best case scenario take a decade (although SMRs can speed it up on small scale)
To revivify its industries is close to impossible, canโ€™t happen. There is not the middle class consumer anymore - theyโ€™ve been drained of any surplus/discretionary money.
Further their legislation over past decades has decimated the margins in indigenous industries like telecom- and that why they were so bulwark to Huawei for 5g as they effectively destroyed the bizโ€™s buntings like carrying roaming charges etc.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 20
There clearly has been a huge movement of stored towed artillery pieces since late summer/early autumn 2025, but unfortunately we lack footage. Image
Just look at all those barrels cannibalized at artillery arsenals like Planovyi and compare them with the prewar situation or even just over a year before late 2025: Image
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And also an increasing number of barreless pieces, like these 2A36s: Image
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Read 11 tweets
Jan 20
Mykhailo Fedorov, Ukraineโ€™s new Minister of Defense: Our goal is to kill 50,000 Russians per month. Last month, 35,000 were killed โ€” all losses verified on video.

Zelenskyy has set a clear task: to make the cost of war for Russia unbearable โ€” Babel. 1/ Image
Fedorov: We want to change the paradigm that the Ministry of Defense is only about procurement and logistics.

It is about civilian oversight and coordination. Management must be built around those who can achieve goals. If people do not deliver results, they will have to go. 2/
Fedorov: As early as this month, 40k interceptor drones will be delivered to the military. Ukraine will have its own Mavic analogue with a longer range. We opened markets for drones, missiles and launched Brave1 marketplace โ€” now the largest investor in Ukrainian defense tech. 3/
Read 7 tweets

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