Dr Duncan Robertson Profile picture
Policy & Strategy Analytics academic at Loughborough University; Fellow, St Catherine's College, Oxford. Member, @IndependentSage.

Mar 15, 2020, 7 tweets

I need your help. I want to know from modellers in all areas what we need from a (any) Government #COVIDー19 model (which will predict numbers and timing of infections and will drive national policy). Please share and we will croudsource a requirements list

I'd like to crowd source our requirements for the model (parameters, validation, assumptions, code) - and I'd like to help from all #modelling ( #simulation / #economic / #policy / #epidemiological / #behavioral ) experts in putting together our requirements. I'll start.

I want to know what objective function is being maximized. @MattHancock
said on @BBCPolitics
#marr bbc.in/2QiyxdY this morning 'Herd immunity is not our policy, it is not our goal. Our goal is to protect life...'. My first question would be _whose_ life:

In the @cabinetofficeuk
#sage gov.uk/government/gro… model, what is the difference in weighting (if any) between a 90-year-old with 'underlying health conditions' and a 30-year-old parent?

Please retweet this thread widely (and add @[name] people ideally) as I'd like to get as many expert views in any field - they will hopefully self-organize (by likes and retweets) - and we can then look at who is authoring the tweet to ensure they are an expert in their own area

If this takes off, I will rank the croud-sourced requirements and let everyone know.

Please just reply to this tweet with your requirement, and Twitter will do the rest by liking / retweeting your request.

Share this Scrolly Tale with your friends.

A Scrolly Tale is a new way to read Twitter threads with a more visually immersive experience.
Discover more beautiful Scrolly Tales like this.

Keep scrolling