A short thread on the recent developments in #Idlib/#Syria after a long #COVID19 day:
The very ambiguity behind the attack targeting the Turkish convoy itself is telling. The emerging threat landscape in the reloaded Idlib conundrum is vague and dangerous.
The #Turkish military, in its #Syrian expedition, fought tough hybrid challenges such as the ISIS and PKK off-shoots. However, this time, ensuring the stability and security along the M4 highway demands totally different capabilities.
The Turkish-Russian ceasefire agreement for #Idlib has not translated into an immediate or widespread cessation of fighting in the area. Especially in the southern bank of the M4 highway, clashes between the Baath regime and radical opposition groups continue.
Besides, some opposition groups are involved in heavy intra-rebel conflicts. Under these circumstances, #Turkey’s patrol activities come under great risk.
While Turkey’s military policy in #Idlib was centered on pursuing bilateral talks with Russia and putting pressure on the #SyrianArabArmy, from now on, Ankara has to walk a complicated path of micro-managing armed groups and facilitating a smooth implementation of the M4 patrols.
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