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AI-driven system tracking violence, forecasting risk, and mapping narratives

Sep 1, 2021, 7 tweets

1. Here’s our detailed briefing note on #ISKP:

public-assets.extrac.io/reports/ExTrac…

2. Drawing on ExTrac analytics and on-the-ground sources inside #Afghanistan, it provides in-depth analysis on #ISKP’s:

i. Origins and relations with the #Taliban;
ii. Operational trajectory;
iii. Outreach strategy; and
iv. Significance within the broader global #IS movement.

3. The first section describes #ISKP’s roots in the #TTP, identifies the issues at the heart of its rift with the #Afghan #Taliban, and considers the strategic influence of its current leader, Dr. Shahab al-Muhajir.

4. The second section focuses on #ISKP’s kinetic activities in #Afghanistan and beyond, tracking how (and why) it accelerated its operations and expanded its targeting parameters in the year up to August 2021.

5. The third section delves into #ISKP’s local and global outreach strategy, exploring its supporter- and enemy-orientated signaling efforts in #Afghanistan and elsewhere.

6. The last section looks at how #IS’s global support base perceives #ISKP, focusing on three core lines of discourse: i) strength, ii) tamkin, and iii) excommunication.

7. If you’d like to know more about ExTrac reporting, visit extrac.io or email info@extrac.io.

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