[Thread] Update of #COVID19 numbers in Gauteng πΏπ¦
Gauteng, with ~25% of SA's population, is once again the epicentre of a resurgence of #Covid_19 in South Africa πΏπ¦
A surge in infection rates, increasing demand on hospitalisations, reported deaths remain low...
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Another 3,145 #COVID19 cases reported in Gauteng πΏπ¦ today, 7-day rolling avg at 2,117 β¬οΈ
Case incidence = 13.4 per 100k population, up to 20% of recent peak ποΈ
Case rate up 173% week-on-week or currently doubling every 4.8 days π
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Latest test % positivity in GautengπΏπ¦ for week ending 23 Apr = 20.2% π©
Not surprising given fewer people testing, but increase is steep, up from 11.9% a week prior. With 1 in every 5 tests returning a positive result, it also indicates many more cases going undetected π§
3/n
Hospital admissions in Gauteng πΏπ¦ have seen an increase last week, up 59% week-on-week but off a low baseline π
The increase is not as steep as that in infections, but needs to be monitored closely π
993 patients currently in hospitals in GP, with 83 in ICU π€²
4/n
Reported #COVID19 deaths in Gauteng πΏπ¦ remain low π
Due to lag between infections and deaths, as well as reporting lag, cannot read too much into this indicator yet... However, with high levels of population immunity, >80%, hopefully more decoupling and less severe disease
5/n
While it's too early to read much into severity of current #COVID19 resurgence being experienced in Gauteng, and South AfricaπΏπ¦, early indications suggest a similar decoupling effect as with original #Omicron wave due to high levels of population immunity. Watching closelyπ§
6/n
As ever, all comments/suggestions/criticisms always welcome! #FreeSpeech
I don't always have time to reply to all or to post the many graphs I update daily, but I'll endeavour to respond and share what's most pertinent π€
Take care, stay safe, and happy freedom day SAπΏπ¦
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