๐ปโ๏ธโ๏ธโ๏ธโ๏ธโ ๏ธ๐ฉ๐บ๐ป๐งฎ ๐ฐ
Global Macro Review
September 5, 2022
Hello Labor Day ๐บ๐ธ!
Other than the $USD, very little that was in the green long side last week. This morning, commodities are bouncing but equities โ๏ธ
Letโs review the week and the real-time ๐งฎ!
๐งต
Asia ๐ช๐ฉธ last week with $HSI -3.55%, $NIKK -3.45%, and $KOSPI -2.9%.
Today โ๏ธ
$NIKK 27620 -0.1%
$SSEC 3200 +0.4%
$TWII 14661 -0.1%
$HSI 2404 -0.25%
$IDX 7232 +0.75%
$ASX 6852 +0.35%
$BSE 59209 +0.7%
Chart: $NIKK flipped to neutral Trend (T) -0.4% over the past 3 months
Unambiguously ๐ช๐ฉธ โ๏ธ this morning, Europe was โ๏ธ last week with $DAX + 0.44% and $CAC -1.7%
$DAX 12640 -3.15%
$FTSE 7200 -1.1%
$CAC 6031 -2.2%
$AEX 666 -1.9%
$IDEX 7778 -1.95%
$MIB 21327 -2.7%
$SMI 10704 -1.7%
$MOEX 2457 -0.6%
$VSTOXX 28.96 ๐บ
Chart: $DAX bye higher low ๐ฃ
๐บ๐ธ equities ๐ช๐ฉธโ๏ธ last week with $SPX -3.3% and $COMPQ -4.2%
Futures โ๏ธ
$ES 3926 +0.05%
$NQ 12078 -0.15%
$RTY 1804 -0.3%
$VIX 26.74 ๐บ
Chart: $IWM -4.7% small caps and now -19.05% YTD
Metals ๐๐จ'd last week with $GOLD -1.5% and $COPPER -7.85% ๐ฉธ
Today ๐
$GOLD 1724 +0.1%
$SILVER 18.04 +0.9%
$COPPER 3.437 +0.7%
$PLAT 824 +0.7%
$PALL 2032 +0.3%
$ALI 2304 +0.2%
$ZINC 3177 +1.65%
Chart: Dr. $COPPER is ๐ค -23.7% (T) and -23.55% YTD
Hydrocarbons ๐ช๐ฉธโ๏ธ last week with $WTIC -6.65%, $GASO -8.2%, and $NATGAS -5.3%
Today ๐โ๏ธ
$WTIC 89.16 +2.65%
$BRENT 95.66 +2.85%
$GASO 2.49 +1.25%
$NATGAS 8.892 +1.15%
$OVX 53.90
Chart: $GASO โฝ๏ธ is -42% over the past 3 months, compliments of Uncle Joe and #SPR release
While ๐ป Trend (T), grains hung in there last week
$WHEAT 811 +0.7% (w), -22.0% (T)
$CORN 666 +0.25% (w), -8.45% (T)
$SUGAR 18.2 -1.6% (w), -5.7% (T)
$SOYB -2.8% (w), -16.35% (T)
Chart: $COFFEE โ๏ธ -3.9% (w), -1.3% (T)
With ๐๐ฅฃ removal underway, the $USD ๐ชโ๏ธ +0.7% and trading โ๏ธ this morning
$EUR 0.991 -0.4%
$GBP 1.1487 -0.18%
$AUD 0.678 -0.44%
$USD 110.00 +0.45%
$USDJPY 140.49 +0.2%
$USDCHF 0.9833 +0.3%
$USDCAD 1.316 +0.25%
$USDCNH 6.953 +0.5% ๐จ๐ณ
Chart: ๐ฌ๐ง ๐ท -1.95% (w) -14.9% YTD ๐ฃ๐ฅ
#Bitcoin traded -1.4% and #cryptocurrencies are trading โ๏ธ this morning
$BTC 19779 -1.1%
$ETH 1565 -0.85%
Chart: #Bitcoin is clinging to 20,000 but has downside to 18,400 - today!
UST yields โ๏ธ across the curve
10/2s to -20.1 BPS ๐ป #steepening
MOVE 120.72 ๐ป๐
Chart: $TLT -3.0% (w), -5.0% (T), -25.6% YTD
While economic signals may not be 100% clear, market signals are unambiguous - #Quad4 #deflation is in full swing ๐ช๐ฉธ๐ฃ๐ฅ
Stay long the weapons of choice - the $USD ๐ต and $WTIC ๐ข๏ธas a hedge.
Cash ๐ธ is a position
โ ๏ธ๐ฉ and have a super profitable ๐ฐ week!
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