Thread by @HeliosRunner

Hello there!
Nothing has really changed this night on the frontline and we are still waiting for real "new" good news from #Ramstein meeting...

2/ they are doing their comfy meeting... but we still haven't heard about anything new and really "big" !
#Ramstein
yesterday talks :

3/ Now in #Ramstein, US Secretary of Defense said: This is a crucial moment because #Russia is regrouping, recruiting & trying to re-equip. This isn't a moment to slow down. It's a time to dig deeper. 🇺🇦 people are watching us. Kremlin's watching us. & history is watching us.
ok

4/ but i guess this is "performative" talk as i said couple months ago, we only know about US help for the next couple of years. it could stop just after next prez election.
Putin is counting on such things. too little too slow will only help him achieving his Pyrrhus' victory

5/ Also.. to be frank, still missing a lot even right now in this "rampant" version of "help".
@oleksiireznikov “There r 3 priorities of Ukraine at #Ramstein … More AD / Weapons for the offensive operations (tanks, howitzers, ammo) Systematic ammo supplies & service & repair.."

6/ #Zelensky had a direct conf call will all partners at #Ramstein meeting.

There is one shot one opportunity... if i may say so.
#Ukraine️

7/ and Russian intel and spokesperson are expecting it to be that way... and count only on allies only "replenishing" the pre existing stock so at the end of the day they will still be able to "digest" it..

8/ & what is to be said about this right and several reports made that US CIA Director William Burns secretly visited Kyiv late last week
The Washington Post reports that this is how he briefed Zelensky on US data on Russia's possible military plans in the coming weeks & months.

9/ because with the steady war of attrition, and even if Ukr side is "only" losing 80 to 90 troops perd day (4 to 5 times injuries(diff from Russians side with more direct casualties), 360 more days like that would mean 32k dead & 130k wounded on top of existing ones..

10/ so i'm gonna say this again and again... slow pace and minimal increase in help is actually like Putin's croonies said, in favor of their effing plan..
& even if at the end of the day they will "win" nothing, Ukr could be really really crippled and with bad "frontiers".

11/ we are going to have the French decision about #Leclerc to #Ukraine in a couple hours now ! official!

and in the meantime :
(& real CAS for joint operations for christ sake !)
nypost.com/2023/01/19/dc-…

12/ "how many?" Oh yes please!!

13/ ok ok then!!! seems that everybody final got back to their common senses !!
#F16 ! if come true than it was anticipated and would explain why Ukrainians where training JTAC in several countries in Europe couple months ago !!

14/ also we should not forget about very "basic" things but of real direct utility on the ground
like :vcounter battery radar !
here, from the man himself :

15/ direct example :
with the reported Ru losses & materials that have been destroyed today.
well let say i as i explained once, that we really could destroy 10 arty system/ day.. well before next Christmas they wouldn't have much left to do anything..
maybe 2 pieces/km..