J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇺🇦 Profile picture
Jan 20, 2023 15 tweets 8 min read Read on X
Hello there!
Nothing has really changed this night on the frontline and we are still waiting for real "new" good news from #Ramstein meeting...
2/ they are doing their comfy meeting... but we still haven't heard about anything new and really "big" !
#Ramstein
yesterday talks :
3/ Now in #Ramstein, US Secretary of Defense said: This is a crucial moment because #Russia is regrouping, recruiting & trying to re-equip. This isn't a moment to slow down. It's a time to dig deeper. 🇺🇦 people are watching us. Kremlin's watching us. & history is watching us.
ok
4/ but i guess this is "performative" talk as i said couple months ago, we only know about US help for the next couple of years. it could stop just after next prez election.
Putin is counting on such things. too little too slow will only help him achieving his Pyrrhus' victory
5/ Also.. to be frank, still missing a lot even right now in this "rampant" version of "help".
@oleksiireznikov “There r 3 priorities of Ukraine at #Ramstein … More AD / Weapons for the offensive operations (tanks, howitzers, ammo) Systematic ammo supplies & service & repair.."
6/ #Zelensky had a direct conf call will all partners at #Ramstein meeting.

There is one shot one opportunity... if i may say so.
#Ukraine️
7/ and Russian intel and spokesperson are expecting it to be that way... and count only on allies only "replenishing" the pre existing stock so at the end of the day they will still be able to "digest" it..
8/ & what is to be said about this right and several reports made that US CIA Director William Burns secretly visited Kyiv late last week
The Washington Post reports that this is how he briefed Zelensky on US data on Russia's possible military plans in the coming weeks & months.
9/ because with the steady war of attrition, and even if Ukr side is "only" losing 80 to 90 troops perd day (4 to 5 times injuries(diff from Russians side with more direct casualties), 360 more days like that would mean 32k dead & 130k wounded on top of existing ones..
10/ so i'm gonna say this again and again... slow pace and minimal increase in help is actually like Putin's croonies said, in favor of their effing plan..
& even if at the end of the day they will "win" nothing, Ukr could be really really crippled and with bad "frontiers".
11/ we are going to have the French decision about #Leclerc to #Ukraine in a couple hours now ! official!

and in the meantime :
(& real CAS for joint operations for christ sake !)
nypost.com/2023/01/19/dc-…
13/ ok ok then!!! seems that everybody final got back to their common senses !!
#F16 ! if come true than it was anticipated and would explain why Ukrainians where training JTAC in several countries in Europe couple months ago !!
14/ also we should not forget about very "basic" things but of real direct utility on the ground
like :vcounter battery radar !
here, from the man himself :
15/ direct example :
with the reported Ru losses & materials that have been destroyed today.
well let say i as i explained once, that we really could destroy 10 arty system/ day.. well before next Christmas they wouldn't have much left to do anything..
maybe 2 pieces/km..

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More from @HeliosRunner

Mar 1
Incredible leaks regarding #Taurus
1/
2/ #TaurusLeak reveals the complete breach of all secured protocol / incompetence of German officers in the #Luftwaffe - German gov is really mad about it right now. Also all intel services are all hands on deck right now.
3/ so allegedly "being wiretapped, conspiratorial telephone conference by the Bundeswehr leadership, they plan to trick the federal government regarding the 🇩🇪 cruise missile in order to bring about delivery. Goal? Among other things, the attack on the Crimean Bridge" (sic)
Read 24 tweets
Feb 6
voilà voilà... j'en ai encore parlé hier soir
(j'ai juste supprimer le post hier soir parce que j'avais trop de messages, mais il semble maintenant que tout le monde va être au courant)
Par contre bcp de choses sont encore à régler. ce n'est pas facile surtout en ce moment.. 1/ Image
2/ Paris et Kiev finalisent les préparatifs de la visite du président @EmmanuelMacron en #Ukraine, en se concentrant sur un accord pour que la France fournisse des avions de combat multirôles #Mirage 2000D. Le ministre ukrainien de la Défense, Rustem #Umerov, est attendu
@EmmanuelMacron 3/ cette semaine à Paris pour finaliser les accords avec le ministre français de la Défense @SebLecornu . Le plan initial prévoyait le transfert de six avions, mais ce nombre est désormais porté à 12. La France recherche également des missiles et des solutions de formation, avec
Read 5 tweets
Nov 8, 2023
1/ #Gaza map update #IDF despite really hard battle involving dismounting troops/Spec forces at night r allegedly breaking through to Gaza City center, but as we can't confirm it, we can still produce this map that is made on only verified locations (blue limits for IDF)
#Israel Image
2/ from yesterday evening. i also had direct infos that the area between the north south axis, west to the defensive walls (stripe areas) are indeed totally under complete surveillance. What i was just not able to figure out is if there is a junction with troops coming from Beit Image
3/ hanoun or not. Also infos from journalist i've translate seems to confirms all the geoloc that were assessed to make this map.

Actually what an israeli journalist said on the ground is that all the main axis are AT least under direct control up to 500m to be able to interdict
Read 14 tweets
Nov 7, 2023
1/ So actually here is how we have to "read it" :
"i don't give a damn fck abt palestinians, but as long as they all play in my hands (incl south Liban & Syria & Iran & Yemen) & that American are forced to stall their help toward Ukraine... i'm just super happy you idiots"
2/ there is no "friends" (out of best friends) for him, there is right now a HUGE amount of cards he can plays to create greater problems for people who are helping Ukraine.
between dozen millions of hebrew/jews around the world and BILLIONS of people he might use for his plan
3/ the "thinking process" was quite easy .
also never forget that there are lots of muslims in Russia and he certainly does not want right now, any problems with people he might need to send to the front line in Ukraine in order to serve as canon fodder Image
Read 10 tweets
Nov 3, 2023
#Gaza map update. #IDF has almost reached the main points of entry south of Gaza City, severing main LOCS to the southern Gaza Strip. Up north the situation is not that clear, but despite tremendous hard battles, it seems that they are able to still move forward
#Israel #Hamas Image
2/ in the meantime in lalaland Image
3/ also i do believe talking to a good friend of mine...
that this famous map with tunnels' sketches is really for kids
not saying they don't exist of course, but that the actual lines are really not looking like that ! Image
Read 18 tweets
Oct 28, 2023
1/ Tellement de choses à dire.... difficile de savoir par ou commencer.
en tout cas une chose est sure : il n'a pas de F-35 et le matos US du type F-16 serait vite inutilisable s'il veut jouer au con, et d'autre part, ses S-400... c'est de la m...
soit il n'a que de la gueule et
2/ c'est pour jouer la carte "oui mon peuple je t'ai compris et tu as milles fois raisons.." et il ne fait rien derrière que de gesticuler. Soit il ne veut pas passer pour une simple grande gueule et là concrètement il peut y avoir "un peu de sport" en perspective pour ts les
3/ occidentaux.

on pourrait se dire que c'est pour mettre une pression enorme sur Israel pour qu'ils arrêtent assez vite les bombardements et redonne des accès humanitaire etc
mais il faut tout de même écouter son discours
Read 14 tweets

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