THREAD
1/ on June 12, 2016, @JulianAssange announced "upcoming leaks in relation to Hillary Clinton … We have emails pending publication". This announcement is believed by many to have precipitated DNC's announcement of hack (via WaPo and Crowdstrike)
theguardian.com/media/2016/jun…
2/ however, there was relevant incident on June 8, thus far unnoticed in this respect. On June 8, DCLeaks published web.archive.org/web/2016061314… several archives, one of which was entitled "HILLARY CLINTON ELECTION STAFF CLIPS".
3/ the Hillary Clips dossier published on June 8, 2016 at DCLeaks consisted of 72 documents with nomenclature like 20150127 HRC Clips.docx, ...etc
web.archive.org/web/2016062020…
4/ ALL 72 documents had been attachments to Podesta emails (published in October 2016 by Wikileaks wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/), a connection which (to my knowledge tho somebody might have) has not been reported.
5/ the distribution lists on emails were senior insiders of Hillary campaign: from Nick Merrill to Podesta, Mook, Huma, Cheryl Mills etc, rather than DNC finance officials of the DNC hack archive.
6/ so Hillary campaign officials knew or ought to have known that there had been a hack of someone in the Hillary campaign - DISTINCT from the DNC hack which Crowdstrike was consulting on.
7/ the person who'd been hacked was therefore a senior insider of the Hillary campaign, not a low-level DNC clerk. At the time, the Hillary email investigation was ongoing, with both FBI and Hillary covering up or denying that Hillary email had been hacked.
8/ I wonder what the Hillary campaign told Crowdstrike. I'll bet that they kept their mouths shut and hoped that it would be contained until after the election.
9/ in any event, seven days before Guccifer 2, DCLeaks had published the first fruits of the Podesta hack.
10/ in the Guccifer2 blogposts in June 2016 - as is now well known, many of the documents had originated as attachments to Podesta emails. (One particular document can be distinguished in version from a similar document at DNC).
11/ 11 documents in Guccifer2 blogposts of June 30 and July 6 also occur as attachments in DNC hack emails. This is little known. I just noticed this. I subsequently noticed that Forensicator SI has similar collation, but didn't discuss.
12/ in my opinion, Guccifer2 blog use of Podesta attachments was a much firmer association than any presented in intel assessments. G2 use of DNC attachments (prior to Wikileaks publication) is a similarly firm association.
13/ I've consistently spoken against any reliance on high July 5 copying speeds as supposedly showing a leak rather than hack. (July 5 copying was a re-arrangement by G2 - NOT exfiltration.) G2 use of DNC attachments on June 30 is further evidence against the July 5 theory.
14/ the spearphishing syntax of Podesta hack, as I've mentioned before, was identical to spearphishing syntax of Rinehart hack published at DCLeaks. So there's a direct connection between Podesta hack and DCLeaks as well as to Guccifer2.
15/ there are also connections between DCLeaks and Cyber-Berkut. Several Soros documents published by Cyber-Berkut were among the Soros documents published by DCLeaks. (Citizen Lab used DCLeaks version to accuse CyberBerkut of altering a document.)
16/ DCLeaks' earliest archives (to which little attention has been paid) are hacks of US military, most prominently NATO General Philip Breedlove, whose very aggressive emails on Ukraine situation attracted some interest in Europe.
17/ One of Breedlove's most prominent correspondents - Wesley Clark - advocated a Strangelove-like domino theory of the type not heard since escalation of Vietnam War.
18/ in passing, there were an astonishing number of US military personnel, including Gen. Breedlove, who used gmail, aol etc for correspondence on military policy. If US military use gmail to talk shop, how can US complain if they get hacked by Russia or anyone else?
19/ also, in passing about DCLeaks, their email hacks didn't involve X-Agent, X-Tunnel or elaborate malware. They involved nothing more than a single spearphish email, no different than Nigerian scam. DCLeaks published 13 hacks, with latest (Colin Powell) having emails to Aug 29
20/ more later.

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More from @ClimateAudit

Feb 8
In today's thread, I'm going to excavate some fascinating data on Omicron vs Delta from a CDC article. On its face, it's a garden variety sermon on vaccination
cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/7…, but it contains other interesting data that wasnt discussed by the authors.
2/ bear with some preliminaries so that the precise point is understood when I get to it. The underlying database is 222772 visits ("encounters") by adults to 383 US emergency depts and urgent care clinics and 87904 hospitalizations at 259 hospitals from Aug 26/21 to Jan 5/22.
3/ Delta variant was predominant for most of period; Omicron rapidly became dominant in Dec and, by Jan, Omicron (rather than vaccination) had more or less eliminated Delta. While authors stratify results by "Delta" and "Omicron" periods, unfortunately they didnt quantify lengths
Read 30 tweets
Jan 24
UK has published some relatively detailed data showing "unadjusted" rates of case infection of boosted vs unvax by age group.
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl… As context, Ontario SciTable only shows "adjusted" case rate purporting to show unvax rate as twice that of vax (2 or more doses)
2/ in ALL UK ages above 30, "unadjusted" case infection rate for triple-vax was HIGHER than among unvax. These results troubled UK authorities who printed unadjusted unvax rates in light gray, warning "comparing case rates ...should not be used to estimate vaccine effectiveness"
3/ the UK conclusion that "comparing case rates among vaccinated and unvaccinated populations should not be used to estimate vaccine effectiveness against infection" will come as news to Ontario SciTable and other authorities which regularly use such data in briefings
Read 14 tweets
Jan 16
Quebec, in midst of draconian lockdown, (unlike Ontario) publishes new hospitalization data by age group, vax status msss.gouv.qc.ca/professionnels…

These are real counts, neither "normalized" relative to population nor "adjusted" by Ontario Science Table (or CDC). What do you notice? Image
2/ the most obvious observation about new hospitalizations is that (unsurprisingly) they are dominated by seniors and particularly over 80s - a group which is almost totally vaxxed.
3/ a secondary observation is that, in younger agegroups, number of new hospitalizations among unvax is pretty similar to number of new hospitalizations among vax, even though population of unvax is much smaller. This is consistent with primary messaging from governments.
Read 17 tweets
Jan 12
in response to recent threads in which I showed actual vax and unvax case counts (not just per million), I've been abused by many commenters for my supposed failure to understand "data science 101" - that ONLY per million matters and only a moron would look at counts.
2/ I suspect that most of the abusive commenters are much younger than me and thus fail to consider why actual counts of fully-vax cases are of particular concern to someone who is fully vax and in a vulnerable age group (like me.)
3/ Nearly every 80+ and 70+ in Ontario was fully vax in Dec; yet there was unprecedented explosion of cases among seniors in mid-Dec. This is NOT due to almost non-existent unvax seniors. I wish it were. Yes, the few unvax are at more risk. But they arent causing senior caseload
Read 15 tweets
Jan 11
the actual operating problem for Ontario govt - what puts pressure on hospitals and ICUs - is most likely the dramatic resurgence of cases among Ontario seniors, even including 99.99% fully-vax 80+s.
2/ it is well known that hospitalization and ICU rates for senior COVID cases are FAR higher than younger cohorts. In Toronto, where fine-grained data is available, 34% of cases among 80-90s are hospitalized; 25% of cases among 70-79s hospitalized, 5.8% into ICU
3/ in November, the priority of federal government and Science Table appears to have been vaccinating 5-11 year olds, as opposed to boosting seniors. "Younger" seniors (60s and 70s) mostly wer not eligible for boosters until December due to 6-month federal regulation.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 10
today's Ontario cases are down almost 50% from Jan 1 max. Fully-vax cases accounted for ~85% of all cases; on a per million basis, fully vax cases still are higher than unvax cases. SciTable shows increasing cases, with "adjusted" unvax cases exceeding vax cases on per MM basis.
2/ here is today's NON-ICU hospitalizations, absolute and per million, by status. About 75% of non-ICU hospitalizations are full vax, flipping ratio that applied earlier in pandemic. Relative unvax rates remain higher.
3/ to estimate "excess" unvax non-ICU occupancy, I calculated what non-ICU numbers for unvax "should have been" if they had same relative occupancy as full-vax. It was ~100 extra for most of 2021, now ~150. This is 8% of present 1925 non-ICU occupancy.
Read 15 tweets

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