There may be more than one cause-effect relationship. Certainly not an easy task. But Bizantine discussions w/ ultracrepidarian poor people seems one of the worst ways to waste a life. Don't do that.
I want at least one millionaire to be concerned about self-improving AI, and how that's our best chance to solve all existential risks / complex problems, for which human intelligence is too slow or never enough
Meetings are meant to solve those mistakes. By being ambiguous, PowerPoint creates the delusion of agreement & certainty in mistakes (when there was doubt before)
A kakonomic tool, bad results, but it requires a low investment (no need to be specific)
Both web3 and the metaverse jeopardize untapping the relevance of crypto: “X as code”:
$BTC: money
$ETH: contracts
Software is eating the world. Eating the web or VR only delays the unavoidable
Relevant: create value, solve problems, do things that matter, fix what sucks,…
Web3 is a terrible choice of name too
Crypto is undoing a lot of the centralization in web 2.0*, and requires technical knowledge. Today, it should be 1.2 IMHO
* Similarly to Jamstack: less PHP, more REST & static pages. Nobody promised linear evolution…
Many people expect crypto will become easier, more polished, and gain mass adoption
It is about freedom & DIY, avoiding intermediaries & centralization, much like GNU/Linux. It's not about getting rich. In fact normally freedom comes at a cost
Several things may be considered as "triggers" of an AI winter, e.g
—"aging" of teams
—not meeting investor expectations after diminishing returns
—whistleblowers ending the hype by exposing lies
—…
TBH: I think those are symptoms, but not the root cause
If Sutskever's opinion were not relevant enough, it has been seconded by other famous AI researchers, like Brockman, arguably making a point through example, and not just words