#NIFTY Close-Open of last 3 days:
31st Oct'19: -13pts (NSE TO: 50.8k crs being expiry day)
01st Nov'19: +4pts (NSE TO: 42.8k crs)
04th Nov'19: +16pts (NSE TO: 40k crs)
Today's high 11989.15
Largecaps arent looking healthy at current levels.
View changes > 12042
View is intact.. maintain SL 12042..
Today's high was 12002.90
Midcap and Smallcaps are showing some weakness
Breadth wasnt good today despite the rally in Banknifty.
View is intact.. maintain SL 12042..
Today's high was 12034.15 but..
close was 11908.
First close below previous day low after 21 sessions.
Breadth continues to deteriorate.
#MeanReversion to at-least 20 SMA likely.. maybe 50 SMA also
View is intact.. revise SL to 11982
Today's close was 11840.
Second close below previous day low after 24 sessions.
Breadth continues to deteriorate.
#MeanReversion to at-least 20 SMA likely.. maybe 50 SMA also
View changes to BULLISH. Price did not mean revert as much as expected. Fresh breakout with Bullish Breadth. #NIFTY (#MIDCAP50 may outperform #NIFTY)
View remains same. Current move looks more like a consolidation as of now in an UPTREND.
Maintain #BULLISH stance. Price did not retrace 50% while Time retracement is crossing 100% is a classical Bullish setup (on 75 min chart). #NIFTY
SL now: 11880
#NIFTY 100pts more after morning update.. TREND is gaining strength..
Market Breadth was fantastic today.
#Nifty +175 pts since previous update. From hereon, I am more Bullish on MIDCAP50 Index vs NIFTY50.
MIDCAP50 CMP 4751
SL is 10 SMa (4650)
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4th Higher High formation
No weakness in volume to assist divergence
20Day ATR now 250pts (ATR falling means low volatile zone in an Uptrend which is bread butter for Trend Followers)
My view: Bullish as there is no sign of weakness yet.
Earlier I explained how to make charts cleaner by using Two day Swing Lines & today I explained how to identify Relative Highs & Relative Lows in an objective manner
Link1:
A thread on how to Define correct Swing Highs / Lows for the purpose of Dow Theory analysis or drawing Trendlines:
Thomas DeMark in his book "The New Science of Technical Analysis" said that drawing
of trend lines is a highly arbitrary process. 1/n
A trend line is typically intended to connect
several Relative Highs or Relative lows. If there are two or more such points, the trend line can be drawn
precisely. (notes from Jack Schwager's book "The Complete Guide to the Futures Market").. 2/n
Relative high is a High that is higher than high on the N prior & N succeeding bars.
where N is a number of bars (can be anything as per individual's setup 5 / 10 / 20...)
if N = 5, Relative High is Current High > last 5 days & succeeding 5 days. Viceversa for Relative Low.. 3/n
Further to my initiative of #LetsLearn where my objective is to de-code complex things & make things simple and available for analysis...
Today, I will try to make a complex looking chart into a clean & simple one (only useful for people who are PATTERN based trader/analyst)..1/n
Further as disclaimer, the presented way will be more useful for people who have followed Martin Pring's book on chart patterns.. (images taken from Kindle version of the book)
The below are Candlestick charts of #NIFTY50.. a lot of times market moves inside a range throwing multiple Bullish/Bearish candlestick patterns and adds up the clutter in analysis (Pro Candlestick / Bar / short term traders wont have a problem) but for others it is a confusion..