UPDATE ON MARKETS: Much better month for SA market indeed. FTSE/JSE All Share ended month 3.3% positive in Rand-terms. This brings the full 2019-year return in Rand to 12.1%. SA Property bucked local equity market’s trend, losing 2.1%. Local Bonds improved 1.9% over same period.
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Mid-Caps was again the star performer in December, increasing by 4.7%. Large Caps also outperformed the JSE with a monthly return of 3.7%, while Small-Caps only improved by 0.2% over the same period.
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What made performance even more extraordinary was that JSE outperformed MSCI All Country World Index (ACWI) significantly by 4.5% in USD during December & 0.6% against MSCI Emerging Market Index (EM). This however wasn’t enough to help outperform ACWI/EM over full 2019
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Despite strong performance, foreigners again were net sellers of SA Equities in December. This brings total net foreign outflow in SA Equities to R118bn for '19, with only 2 (out 12) months having net foreign buyers. Foreigner were however net buyers of SA Bonds in Dec
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From a sectoral perspective, Resources was the biggest driver of South African Equities in December, gaining 6.9%. Both Industrials (+2.5%) and Financials (+0.8%) underperformed the FTSE/JSE All Share over the same period.
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#PriceGauge indicator (using historic PE, DY & PB's ) on $JALSH reflects a fairly oversold Index. It historically gave a great indication on how cheap/expensive market can be perceived. Indicator still very much in “VALUE’ territory.
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South African Fear & Greed Index saw a strong move out of EXTREME FEAR territory in December.
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Rand enjoyed another great month in December, improving by nearly 5% against USD. This saw $ZAR end 2019 full-year, 2.6% stronger against USD. Many may argue that it was all due to USD weakness. This is however not case, as ZAR improved 5% against Euro in 2019 as well.
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SA Unit Trust sectors also enjoyed positive environment in Dec with SA General Equity Sector increasing 3.5% (+10.7% full 2019-year), SA Multi-Asset High Equity Sector improving 1.6% (+9.9% for '19) & SA Multi-Asset Low Equity Sector also improving 0.7% (+9.6% for '19)
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Commodities enjoyed biggest Santa-rally in years, with Platinum (+7%) being leader of pack. Both Brent Oil (+5.9%) & Copper (5.2%) weren’t too far behind in December.
Wishing you a 2020 that’s promising, exciting, inspiring and full of fun! Happy New Year!
For those investors who’s got a keen interest on local version of Fear & Greed South Africa (☝🏼) Index, should be very careful when entering/buying any S&P500 investments currently. At 96 we’re not only talking about “EXTREME GREED”, but also highest #greed levels since end 2017.
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UPDATE ON MARKETS: What a month! FTSE/JSE All Share improved by 10.5% during November, following 4.7% contraction during Oct & 1.6% decline in Sep. SA Property stocks made 17.5% recovery during Nov, bringing YTD performance to -43.6%. SA All Bond Index increased by 3.3% for month
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South African Small Caps continued to perform well during November, growing by 15.56%. Mid-Caps and Large Caps grew by 10.05% and 10.37% respectively.
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FTSE/ JSE All Share ( $JALSH) again enjoyed a better month than the #MSCI All Country World Index in USD terms. The YTD performance for the JSE in USD-terms was -7.12% versus the MSCI ACWI’s performance of 11.10%.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: With flareup of #COVID19 globally & many countries moving back into hard lockdown, #markets reacted. FTSE/JSE All Share contracted by further 4.7% during October, following 1.6% September decline. Another horrible month for Local Property stocks dropping 8.5%.
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South African Small Caps were top performers for October, growing by 0.1% during the month. Mid Caps declined by 3.1% for the period, while Large Caps had a massive loss of 5.1% during October.
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Although JSE was not left unscathed, it did outperform MSCI All Country World Market in USD. $JALSH however need quite a few more of these, with the YTD performance for the JSE in USD-terms at -19.98% versus the MSCI ACWI’s performance of -1.09%.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Following the recovery in May, the FTSE/JSE All Share enjoyed another SOLID (+7.74%) month in June. Local Property stocks (SAPY) enjoyed a BIG comeback, increasing by 13.4% during June.
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After lagging behind in both April and May, Small Caps was the star performer with an 11.4% increase. Large-Caps again outperformed the JSE (+7.85%), while Mid-Caps lagged somewhat behind with +6.6% over the same period.
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What made JSE’s performance even more remarkable, was its outperformance in USD, again outperforming both MSCI All Country World Index (+3.2%) & MSCI Emerging Market Index (+7.4%), with a performance of 9.1% over the same period.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Interesting month indeed. Although JSE ended November down 1.8% in ZAR, this was mainly due to Rand strength, while it actually improved 1.3% in USD. This brings YTD returns in ZAR to 8.5% & 12mth returns to 13.1%. SA Property increased 0.8%. Local Bonds flat.
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Mid-Caps was again the star performer in November, increasing by 0.6%. Large Caps decreased more than the JSE with -2%, while Small-Caps lost 1.2% over the same period.
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The FTSE/JSE All Share also underperformed against the MSCI All Country World Index by 1.2% in USD-terms during November, but did however outperformed against the MSCI Emerging Market Index (-0.14%).
First quarter of 2019 done & dusted. Although $JALSH increased by 7.97% YTD, avg return of all $JTopi stocks, for example (+1.37%), paints a totally different picture. Local Property took another beating in March, with $SAPY losing a further 1.46% of its value during the month.
Part 2 - Most of the performance came from Large Caps (up 8.45% YTD), with Mid Caps only growing by 2.76% over the same period, while Small Caps lost a further 3.41% in 2019 thus far.
Part 3 - Foreigners were net buyers of SA Equities in March. This was the first time since June 2018 that they were not net sellers.