UPDATE ON MARKETS: With flareup of #COVID19 globally & many countries moving back into hard lockdown, #markets reacted. FTSE/JSE All Share contracted by further 4.7% during October, following 1.6% September decline. Another horrible month for Local Property stocks dropping 8.5%.
2/12
South African Small Caps were top performers for October, growing by 0.1% during the month. Mid Caps declined by 3.1% for the period, while Large Caps had a massive loss of 5.1% during October.
3/12
Although JSE was not left unscathed, it did outperform MSCI All Country World Market in USD. $JALSH however need quite a few more of these, with the YTD performance for the JSE in USD-terms at -19.98% versus the MSCI ACWI’s performance of -1.09%.
Foreigners were net sellers of SA Equities for 16 months in a row. Despite much higher relative yields, foreigners were also sellers of SA Bonds in October.
6/12
From a sectoral point of view, both the Resource- (-11.36%) and Financial sectors (-6.08%) were the biggest culprits. Thanks to #Naspers/#Prosus and #Multichoice, the Industrial Index ended the month in positive territory.
7/12
Added to my point above ☝️, without them (NPN, PRX & MCG), FTSE/JSE All Share would have lost more than 6% in October. As most fund managers use Capped Swix ALSI as benchmark, it is interesting to note the top 10 best & worst contributors for the month.
8/12
Rand enjoyed very strong month, improving by 3.1% against the USD. It gained 3.7% in October against Euro & 2.9% against GB Pound. Very interesting point to mention is also that $ZAR moved up to 3rd best performing #BRICS currency over 5yr rolling period in October.
9/12
Most #commodities continued their September contraction in October. With #COVID19 lockdown restrictions being reintroduced in Europe and the UK, #BrentOil saw a massive decline (-7.6%) during the month. #Platinum (-4.61%) & #Palladium (-4.6%) however were not too far behind
10/12
Although the SA General Equity Unit Trust Sector was less affected by the JSE decline in October, it still lost 3.42% of its value during the month. The SA Multi-Asset High Equity & Low Equity Sectors fell by 3.31 % & 1.11% respectively for the month.
11/12
The US M2 Money Supply YoY growth rate AGAIN reached a new all-time high, for the fifth time in 2020, during September.
12/12 and final
The US Dollar Index is trading below its downward-sloping 200-day Moving Average, and above its 50-day Moving Average.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Following the recovery in May, the FTSE/JSE All Share enjoyed another SOLID (+7.74%) month in June. Local Property stocks (SAPY) enjoyed a BIG comeback, increasing by 13.4% during June.
2/10
After lagging behind in both April and May, Small Caps was the star performer with an 11.4% increase. Large-Caps again outperformed the JSE (+7.85%), while Mid-Caps lagged somewhat behind with +6.6% over the same period.
3/10
What made JSE’s performance even more remarkable, was its outperformance in USD, again outperforming both MSCI All Country World Index (+3.2%) & MSCI Emerging Market Index (+7.4%), with a performance of 9.1% over the same period.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Much better month for SA market indeed. FTSE/JSE All Share ended month 3.3% positive in Rand-terms. This brings the full 2019-year return in Rand to 12.1%. SA Property bucked local equity market’s trend, losing 2.1%. Local Bonds improved 1.9% over same period.
Page 2/10
Mid-Caps was again the star performer in December, increasing by 4.7%. Large Caps also outperformed the JSE with a monthly return of 3.7%, while Small-Caps only improved by 0.2% over the same period.
Page 3/10
What made performance even more extraordinary was that JSE outperformed MSCI All Country World Index (ACWI) significantly by 4.5% in USD during December & 0.6% against MSCI Emerging Market Index (EM). This however wasn’t enough to help outperform ACWI/EM over full 2019
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Interesting month indeed. Although JSE ended November down 1.8% in ZAR, this was mainly due to Rand strength, while it actually improved 1.3% in USD. This brings YTD returns in ZAR to 8.5% & 12mth returns to 13.1%. SA Property increased 0.8%. Local Bonds flat.
Page2/10
Mid-Caps was again the star performer in November, increasing by 0.6%. Large Caps decreased more than the JSE with -2%, while Small-Caps lost 1.2% over the same period.
Page 3/10
The FTSE/JSE All Share also underperformed against the MSCI All Country World Index by 1.2% in USD-terms during November, but did however outperformed against the MSCI Emerging Market Index (-0.14%).
First quarter of 2019 done & dusted. Although $JALSH increased by 7.97% YTD, avg return of all $JTopi stocks, for example (+1.37%), paints a totally different picture. Local Property took another beating in March, with $SAPY losing a further 1.46% of its value during the month.
Part 2 - Most of the performance came from Large Caps (up 8.45% YTD), with Mid Caps only growing by 2.76% over the same period, while Small Caps lost a further 3.41% in 2019 thus far.
Part 3 - Foreigners were net buyers of SA Equities in March. This was the first time since June 2018 that they were not net sellers.