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1) Because I’m a lunatic, I went thru 538’s live vlog of Nevada from yesterday.... twice. I had to go thru it twice so I could get the screen shots for this thread
2) I often talk about all of nate silver’s failings but one of his most underrated failings is the incompetent and at times moronic staff he has hired. A lot of these people have takes you would expect from Chris Cillizza
3) Note the time stamps of some of these posts in the pictures. I’ll try to do it in chronological order unless I’m trying to show a flip flop.
4) let’s start it off with Nate himself who goes all Tom Friedman and decides that what happened at the one site he was at was notable Enough to bring up the specter of Bernie being hurt by realignment. It was 4 whole hours later that someone finally rebutted this theory.
5) the above example is pretty petty however the following aren’t.

538 was using the same entrance poll numbers that cable news was and even cable news admitted that while Biden was leading w African Americans, Bernie was a close second. Yet here is what 538 said
6) A lot of the thread consisted of what I would call their Warren bias, where several of the writers are clearly Warren stans which is why early on they were pumping Warren up so much in the blog, alone nothing was worthy of a screenshot tho
7) However they showed how uninformed and bad at their jobs they are with straight up lies about polling, that they might just be so unprofessional that they didn’t know they were lies
8) No polls.... other than the poll they put up on their own website that had a large sample size and showed Bloomberg down 3 and his favorability rating collapsing
9) Also its been common knowledge for at least a week that Bernie still had strong union support even if the management wasn’t on board. This however was shocking news for some of their writers come Election Day.
10) Warren Stan claims Bernie was expected to win by 20-25 points and can’t figure out why people are upset at Chris Matthews and focusing on his comments comparing Bernie to Nazi’s...
11) But these are all small issues compared to the absolute galaxy brain takes by, somehow not a parody account, Nathaniel Rakich. Note the time on these.

heres the first one
12) The above one seems bad... until you realize he then wrote this 2 hours later....
13) We still don’t know... whether tonight was really good for (Bernie) or just kind of on par with his overall strength”

-Someone who gets paid to analyze polls/elections for 538
14) One more addition just for fun, tho it’s kind of unrelated
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