Mustapha Mond Profile picture
Apr 23, 2020 5 tweets 3 min read Read on X
So far, actuals are tracking estimates.
I anticipate Total cases to hit 30,000 by around 27/28th, by which time the total Recoveries will cross 8000.
#COVID2019india
Okay,so the Delhi data is validating an earlier hypothesis: Curve on Active Cases [Green line] starts flattening at ~4% growth rate in Total Cases [Blue line]. Starts reversing if sub 4% is sustained for coupla days

Hv to check if this is the case in TN as well.
#Covid_19india Image
Checked for TN. Pattern holds.
Active cases begin to plateau out & drop when the growth in total cases falls to 4% and below.

So then,per my estimates for #India [see tweet above in the thread], we should see the plateauing out of active cases sometime around 7th May.
#Covid19 Image
Ran the same simulation for Kerala. Same pattern. So that is 3 states where the hypothesis stands validated - TN, Delhi, Kerala.

Rate of growth in Total Cases has to fall below 4% for the curve on Active Cases to plateau out and fall.

#Covid19India
Evidence to support this proposition now available on this thread. From Kerala, TN & Delhi. Also keeping track of India, will notify when the curve is about to flatten based on my hypothesis and subsequent validation
4% is the golden number.
#Covid_19

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More from @Aldous_Ka_Ghost

Jan 9, 2021
Must be busy covering up the tracks on that Real Estate & Eviction scam they have had running for years. Where do YOU think they are Shiva?
Hehehe! Shiva deleted the tweet! 🤣
For the record, in his deleted tweet he had asked where Jared and Ivanka were!
Dummy! We know where they are and what they must be busy doing now 😈
Read 4 tweets
Jan 9, 2021
If there was twitter during the times of Hitler,Mussolini, Franco,Stalin, Mao & that entire evil lot, there would be moral imbeciles who would be using the Free Speech argmt against de-platforming.

Ontological and epistemological decay leads to confusion in feeble minds.
A thing is what the thing is, and not what it is not.

Trump is pure EVIL, a dysfunctional criminal - forget using the free speech argmnt against him being de-platformed, I opine that he should be thrown in a correctional institution.

Free Speech is not even an issue here.
I see Libertarian handles coming in support of the Free Speech argmnt wrt objection to Trump being booted out of twitter. Just goes to show how those who follow an ideology,ANY IDEOLOGY blindly,risk neuronal decay [plaques & tau tangles mainly] & dysfunctional pathways in the PFC
Read 11 tweets
Jan 8, 2021
This man was President!!

How on earth did a malignant narcissist of unsound mind and the emotional/cognitive/behavioral regulation skills of a rock in a gutter ever become President of US?

America,u have some serious thinking to do about eligibility norms for political office.
When you give a pass to someone with a severe Personality Disorder, especially Cluster B, by calling it harmless/unique quirks/traits, do so at your own peril. Pathologically dysfunctional personalities damage families and societies, [yet can be calibrated by professionals].
The general non-acceptance of severe personality dysfunctionality as a mental health condition is one of the biggest example of scientific pussyfooting. The resistance to this mainly came from the left [yes the same "don't judge, no right or wrong, no good no bad" crowd].
Read 5 tweets
Nov 29, 2020
All the more reason to buy the book. Truth often invites scorn from those whose truth is being revealed. Old tactic. So while they busy themselves with distorting the ratings, hit them where it hurts most - buy the book and see what it says 😈😇
Hahaha!
linkedin.com/in/abhishek-ta…
He has the link on his twitter bio! 😈
@milindshah2006 refer tweet exchange a while ago - got one for you.
btw, #LinkedIn which turned into a platform for pompous self-glorification already, has also been infested by this rabid lot past year or so.
Best part is that this true blue sanghi, with songs of civilizational greatness on his lips is employed in an outfit that caters to the needs of those seeking to immigrate out of Bharat [cunedaa!]😈
linkedin.com/company/a-v-im…
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Nov 28, 2020
If you would like a quick FFI/BFI [OCEAN] profile for yourself, go to measureyourpersonality.com/q/welcome.php
and use access code 57562353. Be honest in your responses. Psychometric tool developed at King's College London [Neurobiology of Personality].
DM me for clarifications/interpretation.
Your personal details will not be required - just basic demographic on gender and age. Report pdf can be downloaded after completing the test. Time needed: 5 mins.
Basic factors used are the 5 from the FFI. Statistically Valid tool, tried and tested, strong construct validity.
Don't over analyse the report. Take what's useful for u fm in there. There r strong correlations of some of the factors from the 5 to propensity for affective disorders - but those are indicative AND NOT CLINICAL. So restrict the interpretation to propensities [not diagnostics]
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Nov 28, 2020
"Independent voices that could challenge the official narrative are being muffled; institutions that could force the executive branch to right its wrongs have been defanged"

Brilliant Essay. Bookmark it for weekend reading. Covers all aspects seamlessly.
bloomberg.com/graphics/2020-…
"For many of my generation, our long-cherished hope for a better, greater India is all but gone. We wanted to trade some of our democratic chaos for a little bit more growth. We ended up with less of both."
"....Modi has managed to shift the Overton window, supplanting material prosperity — which no party has delivered since the ’90s — with chest-thumping nationalism and an atavistic yearning for a pre-Islamic past."
Read 5 tweets

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