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It's not just the loss of lives. It's the average 10-11 years that each of those dying have lost.
"The study shows ... people killed by #COVID19 had only slightly higher rates of underlying illness than everyone else their age."
economist.com/graphic-detail… @ECONdailycharts
The preprint paper the graph is based upon
d212y8ha88k086.cloudfront.net/manuscripts/17… @WellcomeOpenRes by @PHanlon17 @DavidAMcAllist2 @UofGlasgow and @TheEconomist's @Sondreus for the ★ piece/graph above
Dead wrong: "Those Dying From Coronavirus Were on Their Last Legs Anyway"—@BillOReilly
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Eric Topol
@EricTopol
There 's remarkable confusion about smartphone apps to help counter #COVID19
washingtonpost.com/world/cellphon… by @kfahim @Min_Joo_Kim_ @SBHendrix
nytimes.com/2020/04/29/bus… by @jenvalentino @natashanyt @AaronKrolik
Contact tracing ≠ digital surveillance 1/x
In this thread, the significant problems with smartphone contact tracing are reviewed, including lack of any validation, false positives, invasion of privacy, and more

Those apps are markedly different from surveillance apps 2/x
Surveillance apps, like @detect_study, launched a few weeks ago, now has >20,000 participants donating their resting heart rate data, looking for an emerging cluster of increase (de-identified). Likewise @kinsa uses smart thermometer body temp. Both have had ILI validation. 3/x
Read 4 tweets
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Eric Topol
@EricTopol
The 4 major trouble countries now, #COVID19 pandemic:
Brazil, Russia, India, and United States (BRIUS)
Cases @OurWorldInData and Deaths @FT
(increase in slope or no descent) 1/2
In contrast, more than 20 countries have achieved flattening, horizontal case curves, a few at or nearing zero (add Hong Kong, a region)
i take strong issue with @NateSilver538's assertion below. The US is (more than) struggling and that IS attributable to our leadership. As is the case for only a few other major countries that got way behind their outbreaks w/ very high fatalities
Read 5 tweets
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Eric Topol
@EricTopol
A company has 100 employees and wants to use #SARSCoV2 antibody testing to guide their return to work.
How does that work with best available testing today?
Not very well.
by @JonathanWosen and @ms_gilchrist @sdut
sandiegouniontribune.com/business/biote…
As they point out (bottom, left), imagine that in 1000s of people. We need much better tests. This @medrxivpreprint from yesterday suggested a 99.9% specificity in >1,000 people
medrxiv.org/content/10.110… via @SeanG187 and @segal_eran
1.8% + among 4,856 people tested in Idaho
See @Liv_Boeree's point below. She is correct about their false negative assertion. To be clear, the main problem with serology tests is their false positive rate, providing the person a false sense of "immunity"
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