Thread by @CovidActNow

Covid Act Now is releasing new modeling for 3 metrics critical to help America Reopen *Safely.*

📈COVID Case Growth
🧪Testing Capacity
🏥ICU Safety Margin

#ReopenSafely #CovidActNow #StayHome

Crucial Reopen Metric #1 = *Case Growth*

In order for a state to reopen safely, the number of #COVID cases should be decreasing.

That means the R-effective has to be less than 1.0

Crucial Reopen Metric #2 = *Testing Capacity*

In order for a state to reopen safely, we must test a sufficient % of the population.

➡️High % of ➕ tests = likely not testing very many people.
➡️Low % of ➕ tests = likely testing a wide swath of the population.

Crucial Reopen Metric #3 = *ICU Safety Margin*

In order to reopen safely, we need to make sure that there is sufficient hospital capacity for any possible spike 📈 in #COVID cases.

So if we achieve all 3 reopen metrics, are we ready to reopen?

Not necessarily.

It’s complicated.

Ultimately it’s a case-by-case decision and includes other factors such as PPE availability, ability to trace positive cases, and much, much more.

We hope these metrics will help governments make plans about when and how to reopen safely. And in the meantime, click on your state or county on our map and check out how you’re doing! #stayhomestaysafe #covidactnow #ReopenSafely

Dig into the full blog post ➡️blog.covidactnow.org/modeling-metri…

and zoom into your community on CovidActNow.org