Eric Berman Profile picture
May 13, 2020 19 tweets 5 min read Read on X
.@GovHolcomb about to begin #coronavirus briefing, where he's expected to present results of @FSPH_IUPUI testing of nearly 5,000 randomly sampled Hoosiers.
.@StateHealthIN Commissioner Kris Box: Indiana will receive weekly shipments of #Remdesivir from federal government, based on number of ICU patients. The anti-SARS drug has reduced the length of #coronavirus hospital stays.
.@FSPH_IUPUI, before presenting results, notes that "while I don't expect it to vary wildly," this is just the first phase of a planned 4-phase study, With that:

1.7% tested positive
1.1% had antibodies, suggesting past infection
That translates to 186,000 Hoosiers infected by late April. That's 11 times the known infections at that time.
FSPH: death rate among estimated number infected = .58%. 44% of those infected believed to have never experienced symptoms.

People in household with infected person 12x more likely to be infected themselves. FSPH says that suggests social distancing contained the virus.
A caution from FSPH: those not yet infected are also the potential next wave of patients. State needs to stay vigilant.

Study also confirms higher risk among minorities.
Next round of FSPH testing June 3-7, with 5K more Hoosiers, to see how much further #coronavirus has spread. As with first round, don't call them, they'll call you, to get scientific sample. If you *are* selected, they urge you to participate.
Box says she believes Cass County has passed the peak of the pandemic.
State has added 161 ICU beds last 2 days, after gradually reducing the number of beds the last 2 1/2 weeks as infection curve flattened out. Box says she doesn't know where those addbacks are, but says the key metric she's watching is the number of hospitalized patients.
.@FSPH_IUPUI health policy chair Nir Menachemi: very slight chance of false positives in FSPH testing. Much more likely to have false negatives. Researchers are calculating margin of error.
Holcomb dress code today: jacket over Shelby County #INThisTogether T-shirt.
FSPH's Menachemi: no single data point can or should drive #reopen decisions. And staying closed forever isn't an option. So focus should be vigilance; preventive steps should be "doubled and tripled up."
Box: it's been "a little heartbreaking for me" to see photos of people in line or elsewhere, not wearing masks and not social distancing. FSPH's Paul Halvorson adds that people are most infectious right *before* showing symptoms.
FSPH random sample found zero cases in general population in the South Bend area. Menachemi says that doesn't mean no one's got the virus there (as ISDH dashboard would tell you); it says those cases were caught by conventional testing (symptoms, LTC). Sample didn't catch any.
Holcomb: FSPH study underscores our suspicions about where we were with virus. As everyone else on the panel has emphasized, he says Hoosiers need to stay vigilant, because the virus is "still roaming out there in the hills and hollers."
Menachemi: .58% death rate among infections is 6x seasonal flu, with a virus that's also a) more infectious and b) often leaves carriers without symptoms.
Halvorson: "Take #social distancing seriously. It's not 'wear a mask when I feel like it'...you need to wear it all the time. If you can work from home, you should. If you can avoid unnecessary trips, you should."
Box: "We're moving into a more dangerous phase," because more people will be back among the public.
Holcomb and Box: the catch-22 of testing people without symptoms is they might get the virus the next day. Focus remains on frontline workers and longterm care facilities, plus aggressive contract tracing when there's an outbreak.

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More from @EricBermanIN

Jul 25, 2022
Halls outside the Senate chamber where #abortion hearing is taking place are jammed with protesters. Chanting is audible in chamber.
Sen. Sue Glick (R-LaGrange) predicts amendments and discussion of possible criminal penalties. Abortion opponents have objected to the lack of enforcement provisions.
Testimony has begun. First witness is a woman raped twice as a teenager, urging legislators not to minimize the trauma accompanying sexual assault.
Read 12 tweets
Jul 25, 2022
Nearly all of the 40 #INLegis Democrats are meeting with @VP at the Indiana State Library to discuss the #abortion bill. First Senate hearing is this afternoon.
.@VP Harris: #INLegis “on the front lines of one of the most critical issues in America today.”
Harris: Dobbs ruling “has already created a health care crisis in America….We are seeing many states attempting to criminalize heath care providers.”
Read 5 tweets
Feb 11, 2022
2,839 new Indiana #coronavirus cases, with 9.4% of today's batch of tests positive. The 7-day positivity rate, which runs a week behind, continues a two-week plunge to 18.3%, still in @StateHealthIN's high-risk zone but lowest since Jan 3. Cases are down 60% from last week.
108 newly reported Indiana #coronavirus deaths, half from the last week but with five dating back to 2021. The death toll rises to 21,299. IDH has also identified one more presumptive #COVID19 death, for a total toll of 22,137.
Indiana #COVID19 hospitalizations drop below 2,000 for the first time since Nov 27 (and lowest since two days before that), at 1,932, down 104 from yesterday. Of those, 392 are in intensive care, 25 fewer than yesterday and fewest since Nov 21. The state has 300 open ICU beds.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 19, 2022
All 92 counties are now rated red (high risk) on @StateHealthIN's weekly risk score.
16,502 new Indiana #coronavirus cases, 2nd-highest total ever, but 3rd week-over-week drop in 5 days.

24.3% of today's batch of tests were positive. The 7-day positivity rate, which runs a week behind, holds steady at a record 30%. It's the 1st time since Dec 26 it hasn't risen.
118 newly reported Indiana #COVID19 deaths, all but 13 in the last five days (but with one late report from 2021), push the death toll to 19,761. IDH has retracted three presumptive #COVID deaths, for a total toll of 20,500.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 18, 2022
Debate begins in Indiana House on final vote on bill limiting employer #vaccinemandates.
House Majority Leader Matt Lehman: "This bill is not about the vaccine itself; it's about the people affected" by mandates. #INLegis
Lehman points to nurses who testified they fear getting fired for being unvaxed, after working for 9 months of pandemic before #vaccine became available.

Last week's #SCOTUS ruling means those nurses aren't affected by this bill; they're still required to get vaxed or get fired.
Read 10 tweets
Jan 18, 2022
710 Hoosiers are in ICU with #COVID19, one fewer than yesterday and the fourth straight drop, but a jump in non-#COVID patients drops the number of open Indiana ICU beds to 218. Overall, 3,460 Hoosiers are hospitalized with COVID, 97 more than yesterday after a three-day decline.
12,126 new Indiana #coronavirus cases, with 25% of today's batch of tests coming back positive. The 7-day positivity rate, which runs a week behind, sets a 15th straight record at 30%.
77 newly reported Indiana #coronavirus deaths, all in the last week; this is the first @StateHealthIN report with no belated reports from 2021 (though there could be more later). The 2-year death toll rises to 19,643; counting presumptive #COVID19 deaths, the total is 20,385.
Read 4 tweets

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