Jeff Seldin Profile picture
May 19, 2020 16 tweets 14 min read Read on X
NEW: @DoD_IG report on US-#Afghanistan raises concern about #Taliban, citing violence from January-March
#Taliban
"The United States & Taliban agreed to a 1-week reduction in violence prior to the signing of the agreement but Taliban violence during the quarter overall was high"
"While the #Taliban reduced attacks against US & coalition forces, it continued to attack the #Afghan National Defense & Security Forces, particularly after the signing of the agreement" per acting @DoD_IG Sean O'Donnell
Also, as w/recent @SIGARHQ report, @DoD_IG not given data on enemy initiated attacks, "which is normally discussed in Lead IG reports" per O'Donnell

@DeptofDefense said info "sensitive as it was part of ongoing interagency deliberations over whether the #Taliban is complying"
.@SIGARHQ complained about US/coalition withholding enemy initiated attack data, calling it "one of the last remaining metrics SIGAR was able to use to report publicly on the security situation in #Afghanistan"
voanews.com/south-central-…
NEW: 1 reason for increased in violence in #Afghanistan in Jan-Feb - US “military pressure” on the #Taliban "to create the conditions for a political settlement" US Forces-Afghanistan told @DoD_IG
Insider attacks targeting #Afghan forces - by #Taliban infiltrators - problematic, per @DoD_IG

US Forces-Afghanistan documents 17 insider attacks between January & March, killing 48 Afghan service members & 2 US troops Image
Per USFOR-A, none of the insider attacks from January to March exclusively targeted coalition members

2019 was the deadliest year for insider attacks, per @DoD_IG with 172 Afghan troops killed, and another 85 wounded
"In contrast to the rising trend of insider attacks against the ANDSF, such attacks against US and coalition forces have remained relatively low since 2015" per @DoD_IG
NEW: #ISIS-#Khorasan substantially weakened in #Afghanistan

@DefenseIntel tells @DoD_IG ISIS-K could have as few as 300 members left in Afghanistan, w/ only 50-100 in #Nangarhar province

But DIA cautions, that on the high end, ISIS-K could have as many as 2,500 fighters
Loss of territory in #Nangarhar province likely caused #ISIS-#Khorasan to change how it operates but ISIS affiliate continues to pose a threat to US, coalition & #Afghan forces, @DefenseIntel tells @DoD_IG
#ISIS-#Khorasan planning & recruitment efforts hurting due to losses in #Nangarhar, lessening group's ability to carry out high-profile attacks

"ISIS-K clandestine cells were continuing to plan and conduct operations against U.S. and Afghan forces" per @DoD_IG
Impact of US-#Taliban agreement, for now, is uncertain

"The DIA stated that, as of the end of the quarter, it was not possible to determine the extent to which ISIS-K was benefiting from or using the agreement" per @DoD_IG
.@DefenseIntel tells @DoD_IG that #Pakistan continues to harbor #Taliban, #Haqqani Network but did encourage Taliban to engage in peace talks
NEW: @NATO Special Operations Component Command–Afghanistan confirms it will dissolve the 18,000 member #Afghan Local Police, per @DoD_IG

Funding runs out in September - tentative plan in place to recover weapons/equipment
Per @DoD_IG, #Afghanistan's Ministry of Interior Affairs will demobilize #Afghan Local Police units by district

Current ALP officers will be encouraged to join the Afghan National Army or other forces, "in order to mitigate the potential of creating future insurgents"
#Iran in #Afghanistan: "Iran seeks to manipulate any future Afghan gvt by trying to influence elections & politics & by endeavoring to secure a central role in #Taliban reconciliation talks" per @DoD_IG report

@DefenseIntel also assesses #Tehran providing lethal aid to #Taliban

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More from @jseldin

Sep 13
BREAKING: US says #Russia's RT has "moved beyond being simply a media outlet"

Intelligence gathered from RT employees shows RT carries out in information & covert influence operations, & military procurement for the #Kremlin
US designating the following #Russia|n people/entities:

-Broadcaster ROSSIYA SEGODNYA & Dir Gen Dimtry Kiselev
-TV-NOVOSTI
- ANO EVRAZIYA &Gen Dir Nelli Parutenko

"Covert influence activities are not journalism" per @StateDept on #Russia's RT, others
US alleges #Russia|n intelligence embedded a #cyber unit within RT "focused primarily on influence and intelligence operations all over the world"

US also charges RT crowdfunded to acquire lethal aid for Russian force in Ukraine
Read 14 tweets
Sep 5
NEW: US charges American TV presenter for Channel One #Russia & his wife in scheme to evade US sanctions

@TheJusticeDept unsealed the indictment vs 76yo Dimitri Simes & 55yo Anastasia Simes Thursday

They have a home in #Virginia but "remain at large...believed to be in Russia"
Dimitri & Anastasia Simes each charged w/1 count of conspiracy to violate the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), 1 count of violating the IEEPA & 1 count of conspiracy to commit int'l money laundering

Per @TheJusticeDept, it's a maximum of 20 years per count
Dimitri Simes alleged to have violated sanctions by "serving as a presenter & producer of programming, & by receiving over $1 million, a personal car & driver, a stipend for an apartment in #Moscow... a team of 10 employees from Channel One Russia" per DOJ
Read 6 tweets
Aug 7
US, coalition actions to deter attacks on shipping by the #Iran-backed #Houthis in #Yemen

"We've degraded their capabilities" @US5thFleet VADM George Wikoff tells @CSIS from HQ in #Bahrain

"Have we stopped them? No"
"Our mission remains to disrupt their capabilities" per @US5thFleet's VADM Wikoff

Says it is "very difficult to find the center of gravity" w/which to pressure the #Houthis
"It's the #Houthi's choice" per @US5thFleet's VADM Wikoff "They can stop this any time they want"
Read 7 tweets
Aug 3
BREAKING: @Secdef Lloyd Austin yanks plea deals for 9/11 terror attack mastermind Khalid Shaikh Mohammad, 2 others

@DeptofDefense memo released tonight also relieves the official in charge of the military commissions of her oversight in the case Image
The @DeptofDefense first announced the plea deals earlier this week, though details of the deal were not made public
Khalid Shaikh Mohammad, Walid Muhammad Salih Mubarak Bin 'Attash & Mustafa Ahmed Adam al Hawsawi were charged in June 2008 & then again in May 2012 for their alleged roles in planning the September 11, 2001 terror attacks on #NewYork's World Trade Center & the Pentagon
Read 4 tweets
Aug 1
JUST IN: US issues new National Counterintelligence Strategy

Updated strategy, signed by @POTUS Thursday, based on 3 pillars, per @NCSCgov:

-outmaneuver/constrain foreign intelligence entities
-protect US strategic advantages
-invest in the future Image
"Foreign intelligence and security services & their proxies persist in seeking to acquire our most
sensitive information, technology, and intellectual property" per @POTUS in the just-released strategy

"Non-state actors are following suit"
Foreign intelligence entities "also seeking to take advantage of the proliferation of commercially available tools to conduct surveillance; collect vast amounts of previously unavailable personal data;
& position themselves to disrupt our infrastructure..." per @POTUS
Read 7 tweets
Jun 4
Some nuggets from @FBI Dir. Christopher Wray's appearance Tuesday before the Senate Appropriations Subcommittee on Commerce, Justice, Science, and Related Agencies...
#ArtificialIntelligence & #Election2024-"We are, of course, seeing & I've been warning about this for some time, the role of AI to enhance efforts that our foreign adversaries have already been engaged in" per @FBI's Wray
"It's not that it [#ArtificialIntelligence] changes fundamentally what it is our adversaries want to do...it allows them to amplify to do it, to make it more sophisticated, more deceptive, cheaper, faster" per @FBI's Wray
Read 18 tweets

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