At the moment the main problem is not about time, but about mutually incompatible objectives on governance, state aid and fisheries. Unless positions change substantially, a deal is unlikely.
Can we, & will we, see an extension of the transition period beyond the end of 2020?
@CSBarnard24 sets out the legal reality: every route to extension after June is legally problematic. If we don’t ask by June, it will be difficult to get extra time.
How would leaving with no deal at the end of the year impact the economy?
@jdportes explains the potential impact on the economy.
What specific tariff will we be likely to see?
Our report sets out what the UK’s global tariff schedule tells us about specific sectoral-level impacts.
How will a no deal interact with Covid-19? Does it make leaving without a deal riskier?
As @jdportes sets out, the economic uncertainties are too large to say for sure – though Covid-19 is likely to make the practical realities more difficult.
Reflecting on lessons from elsewhere in Europe on how to achieve regional economic convergence, @thomasforth@ODILeeds@TheDataCity argues for a commitment to invest more in skills, transport, research and development & culture in cities across the UK👇👇
@michaelkenny_ & @TKelsey915 lay out the evidence that 'a top-down plan for place-based intervention, based upon bilateral negotiations with local areas, runs the risk of enforcing the priorities & orthodoxies of the centre'📝
@fiona_costello's research looks at the impact of Brexit on EU nationals in the UK, and how these problems are being resolved by community advice organisations.
Watch this to find out more ⬇⬇
As well as working as an academic, Fiona works with @GyrosOrg to help EU nationals access legal advice and support – allowing her to understand everyday problems facing EU nationals on the frontline.
.@simonjhix: "In the medium term, Brexit is a challenge to the EU. There will be a UK model of exit."
"At some point, the UK model will seem quite attractive, which could be politically very difficult for the EU."
.@HelenHet20: "The EU's reaction to #Brexit was primarily defensive, but there was an opportunity to face the euro-ins and euro-outs question head on."
"Instead, it was seen as a potential long-term threat to the EU's credibility."
.@BorisJohnson has said that no deal with the EU would be a “good outcome” for the UK.
This report highlights what it would mean in terms of trade, fisheries, connectivity, the impact on citizens, Northern Ireland, economics, security, foreign policy, politics and more.
On #trade, the two sides would revert to #WTO rules.
We’re talking tariffs, customs checks, and regulatory checks. In other words, increased hassle, increased time and increased costs for businesses trading with the EU.
. @jillongovt: "No deal now is not the same as last year because the financial settlement, citizens' rights and Northern Ireland were dealt with in the Withdrawal Agreement."