CDC screwed up designing primers from virus sequence even though China/S Korea/Germany had primers & commercial tests ready by January sciencemag.org/news/2020/02/u…)
Christian Drosten group published diagnostic assay in Jan 2/ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
Further testing delays through march/april as couldn't get enough medical-grade swabs or RNA extraction kits. People would queue up for tests overnight because swabs were rate-limiting step. For want of a nail… 3/
CDC Mask snafu: despite advice for universal mask wearing from E Asia from January onwards, simple cloth face masks weren't recommended until April. Many have forgotten how difficult it was to even talk about masks back then. 4/ nytimes.com/2020/03/17/opi…
Delayed Lockdowns: the big one. The 1-2 weeks of delay between late February and early March cost tens of thousands of lives. It was responsible for New York's catastrophe and set the US on course to 200,000+ deaths by October 5/ nytimes.com/2020/05/20/us/…
Inability to restrict travel or quarantine travellers from Europe/NYC hotspots: "In a globalized world, a deadly disease is one plane ride away" is the truest cliche about pandemics. In Feb & March came intl imports from Europe; then affluent fled NYC in March & spread nationwide
Phylogenetics papers have appeared in last couple months on weight of community transmission vs travel imports. But pandemic researchers have urged travel restrictions for decades & competent E Asian states did them in real time. More in travel thread 6/
For UK, imports of virus from EU travellers sharply rose in March & peaked mid-March. Similarly true for US. Impossible to forget infamous March scenes of Americans returning from European hotspots without hotel qurantine amid Trump's hasty travel ban 7/ virological.org/t/preliminary-…
No Corona Hotels: Asking ppl to go back home if they test positive is just asking them to infect their own families/households. Wuhan figured out by early February that its critical to provide family members & close contacts a safe hotel room to isolate. niss.org/sites/default/…
Been clear that cities w crowded households like New York would need to adopt the Wuhan model of Corona hotels. It took NYC two full months till May to roll it out (see saga in thread). New infections dropping like a rock since then.
Few know that NYC adopted Wuhan model of Corona Hotels: City books you a free hotel room for 2 weeks, gives you food, med checks & mental care. New cases dropped like a rock since program started. Could be rolled out in every city...www1.nyc.gov/site/helpnowny…
PPE Shortages:
Inability to contain pandemic, with none of the arms of #TestTraceIsolate working meant a deluge of patients at hospitals and a surging need for PPE. States were left to fend for themselves and bid against each other
PPE black market:
Eventually by April, the US scrambled an international PPE buying response. But with inflated prices, & shakedowns of other countries PPE deliveries, it resembled more a mafia operation. Thread
The 1st flight carrying supplies from Shanghai landed in NYC on March 29th. Since then, more than 200 flights, largely from Asia, have brought ~ 100 million N-95s, 200M masks & 20,000 vents.
Scandalously little reporting or public knowledge of largest govt airlift in US history.
We don't have to live in world of black markets. S American, Asian & African officials are currently being price gouged for masks, gowns,oxygen . The goal must be to expand production & deliver medical supplies to places with highest need. ht @jamiemartin2 nytimes.com/2020/04/15/opi…
Nursing home neglect:
we've known since Jan that virus kills elderly at 10-100X rate of young. You'd expect nursing home staff would be prioritized PPE & adopt infection control standard operating procedures to protect residents.
Instead, 1 in 3 of all Covid deaths are in them
Staggering WSJ investigative report: "more than 51,000 Covid-19-associated deaths tied to long-term-care facilities"
Hospital mis-management:
A Wall Street Journal investigative report on terrible mishaps in many New York hospitals over last couple of months. archive.is/1Onkq#selectio…
Meatpacking workers are mostly immigrants & instead of protecting them, regulatory agencies *weakened* safety during pandemic to keep the plants open. These unsafe plants then spread the virus into rural areas.
Instead of shutting down superspreader meatplants — where workers are next to each other, with fans blowing & have to shout — corporate & govt officials shifted focus onto workers themselves, blaming their living situations & lifestyles of immigrants. propublica.org/article/emails…
More than 35% of federal inmates tested for coronavirus were positive, according to data from The Bureau of Prisons.
As Dostoevsky said: 'The degree of civilization in a society can be judged by entering its prisons.'
MMT on managing inflation with multiple tools
"Whether it's businesses raising profit margins or passing on costs...there are a range of sources of inflation that aren’t caused by the general state of demand & aren’t best regulated by aggr demand policies" ft.com/content/539618…
Balanced critique of Kelton's book "The Deficit Myth: Modern Monetary Theory and the Birth of the People's Economy" ht @JWMason1 prospect.org/culture/books/…
Economists who don't pay attention to details of production are not economists. Production of cars, oil and meat was disrupted because they are "just-in-time" and bottlenecks in production or transport (like shipping/ports/trucks) hurt.
Thread
2/ Started the thread here 2 years ago, as it became clear that coronavirus would shock the world economy. The shock of E Asia shutting down was immediate to markets & commodities and our "just-in-time" fossil-fueled systems #CoronavirusImposesCarbonTax
3/ The idea of #CoronavirusImposesCarbonTax thread was to understand structure by exploring how a shock propagates across the world economy. Economists find out in 2021 that bottlenecks caused inflation in sectors of OIL, CARS and MEAT.
Pickens hated Dole & Agribusiness love of Corn ethanol. Told Dole, its a fuel that requires more energy (and oil+subsidies) to produce than it delivers at the pump.
2/Witnessing the disaster in Indonesia in 2015 was devastating. Most ppl outside Midwest don't know that 2007 RFS mandate replaced 10% of each gallon of gas sold in the US with corn ethanol. It was pushed by all major envtl group then. Horrifying impact.
3/ Corn: US's leakiest oil pipeline. Hated by Oil companies, but such is power of Agribusiness.
Fossil fuel goes into tractors & fertilizers & comes out as corn-ethanol, that is put back into....cars, tractors. 10% of every gallon of gas in the US is corn ethanol. Thank Dole.
US defense technocrats will now include Climate in prioritizing threats; in strategies for countering threats; in planning missions of the armed forces; in what weapons to develop and five-year plan for investments that support strategy #GeopoliticsOfGHGs media.defense.gov/2021/Oct/21/20…
gotta love the big nerd brain energy in Pentagon planners.
Guys guys this climate change thing that our scientists are telling us about for 50 years? What if, like, its too hot for planes to take off or, get this, wildfire smoke makes bombing harder? media.defense.gov/2021/Oct/21/20…
Worlds largest oil and gas producers? ✅✅
Military budgets many times larger than green investment? ✅✅
Grains in drought?✅✅
Massive forests going up in smoke? ✅✅
Massive chutzpah to create carbon offsets with said forests? ✅✅ bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
2/“You wouldn’t always know it, but it went up every year I was president. That whole, suddenly America’s like the biggest oil producer & the biggest gas — that was me, people"-@BarackObama
Energy Independence/Dominance is a hell of a drug in both US (green line) & Russia (blue)
3/ Biden's infrastructure bill is now ~$2 Trillion over 10 years. Sounds like a lot right? $200 billion each year. But just about $30B each year is for Climate
US spends ~$750B p.a on the military,25 TIMES more than all climate programs #GeopoliticsOfGHGs