Thread by @therealarod1984

#Texas rise in #SARSCoV2 cases is almost all a Reporting and Testing problem, not community spread.

Texas raw case totals increased 84% in one week. Dig deeper into the numbers, you see why.

These two pics list 66 mostly smaller counties in Texas.

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To understand this, let's take the 1st one on the list, Schleicher County. Between 3/4/20 and 6/21/20, they've recorded 12 cases. On 6/14/2020 they had recorded 1 cases. One week later they added 11 cases to that total. 91.7% of their total comes from this past week.

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Next one. Anderson County. On 6/14 they had 102 cases throughout the pandemic. One week, after reporting 904 new cases, they are at 1006. 89.9% of their reported cases for the ENTIRE Pandemic came LAST WEEK.

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These 66 counties all had 30% of their entire Pandemic's worth of cases happen this week.

9302 cases this week alone in these mostly smaller counties, which is 40% of the total that Texas reported this week -23,747.

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So what does this mean? Well deaths and hospitalizations are either flat or rising much more slowly than 84%, so it means a lot of the following is happening.

https://twitter.com/EthicalSkeptic/status/1274125323257417728

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Governor Abbott said as much in his presser last week, went through multiple examples of hot-spot focus, prisons, care facilities, and factories, reporting lags, suspected cases. FL Governor DeSantis had 2 press conferences last week going through the same thing!