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#WildfireFire conducive conditions are likely to get extremely dangerous next week in #Ontario and western #Quebec. A short thread 1/n
First, conditions are already very dry, especially in western Quebec. Some rain in the last couple of days has improved the conditions but still, it is dryer than normal following two-months of much below average precipitations in Quebec 2/...
Beginning next week, both the Canadian and American models are forecasting widespread heat in Ontario and western Quebec. The extent and intensity of this heat depends on the models but still, forecast are jaw-dropping 3/...
According to the GFS (american) model, temperatures will reach > 90F (32C) for at least 5 days for a large swath of Ontario and western Quebec 4/...
This jaw-dropping heatwave should culminate on July 2nd with temperatures reaching >40C (104F) in western Quebec! 5/...
Here are the 18Z temperatures forecasted by GFS between June 29th and July 2nd
This means that temperatures will be as high as 25 to 50F above normal for 5 days for an extensive part of these provinces! 7/...
During the same period, precipitation will be extremely low (< 10 mm), at least until July 6th. 8/...
Moreover, RH will reach values below 30% for a long stretch, making crossover very likely 9/...
All conditions will be there to bring very severe fire weather conditions! Fire agencies might deal with several very intense fires if multiple ignitions occur. 10/end.
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