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In the first of a four-part series on India's #growth challenge, @KwatraNikita and I look back at India's growth record since early '80s, and show why getting growth back on track is essential to tackle the country's most difficult problems.
#PlainFacts
livemint.com/news/india/the… Image
Everybody agrees that this year will be exceptionally bad for growth. But beyond that period, will we know for sure if growth is seeing a sharp rebound or faltering?
We examine this question in the second part of the series.
#PlainFacts #GDPParadox
livemint.com/news/india/fix… Image
In the third part of the series, we look at India's oft-neglected deficits in social infrastructure, which sap productivity, hurt #growth.
(The idea for the graphic came from a similar Ind-China comparison by @CafeEconomics years ago for #PlainFacts).
livemint.com/news/india/the… Image
In the final part, we look at the concentration of economic activity (& jobs) in a few states.
It also answers the question of where India's next #growth surge could come from. And if that kind of surge materializes, it would also bring down inequality.
livemint.com/news/india/the… Image
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More from @pramit_b see all

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Pramit Bhattacharya
@pramit_b
India's statistical system, once the envy of the world, has been decaying over time. But the crisis has never seemed as profound as it seems today.
This #thread is a summary of the symptoms, causes, implications, and possible remedies of that crisis (1/n)
The latest blow comes in the form of a misguided attempt to dig up dirt on the consumption survey report after deciding to bury the report, which had some unfavorable evidence on consumption spending. (2/n)
livemint.com/news/india/aft…
All the evidence so far suggests that the stats ministry's decision to bury the report was taken in haste after @someshjha7 blew the lid off the report, which had been inordinately delayed. (3/n)
Read 20 tweets
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Pramit Bhattacharya
@pramit_b
In the first of a ten-part data journalism series on city life in India, @sh_devulapalli analyzes congestion in 300 major arterial roads spread across six largest urban agglomerations of the country #PlainFacts
livemint.com/news/india/the…
@sh_devulapalli In the second part, @sh_devulapalli takes a look at the public transport crisis in India and shows why we can't rely only on the metro to solve our #urban mass-transit challenge (even in Delhi, half the city doesn't have easy access to metro) #PlainFacts
livemint.com/news/india/ind…
@sh_devulapalli In the third part, @sh_devulapalli and @Howindialives analyze census data to find migration to southern metros rose in 2001-11 period, even as migrant flows to #Delhi and #Mumbai were ebbing [also most migration from urban areas of own states] #PlainFacts
livemint.com/news/india/mig…
Read 9 tweets
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Pramit Bhattacharya
@pramit_b
Was indeed a fascinating discussion, and quite a respectful exchange (the kind that we need more in 'New India')... the #greatIndianGDPdebate has certainly not ended, and my takeaways so far are the following #Thread #IPF2019 (1/n)
I thought @arvindsubraman (AS') presentation yesterday was much more sharper, more thought-through, and better articulated compared to his previous paper on this issue (2/n)
He made it clear that he was NOT re-estimating the GDP series but was merely trying to validate using 'demand' side metrics (investment demand, exports etc.) and the dissonance between these indicators and new series was sharp (3/n)
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