Thread Upsum on view from #Damascus of #Syria MP Elections:
- 'North Korea option' seems a lot more likely.
- Under new and emerging external pressures, any internal dissent will be quelled, starting by parliament.
-A prelude to the '99.99% 2021 Presidential Elections'
A Damascus source commented on the recent elections result saying that @Charles_Lister analysis that Syria was going towards the 'North Korea option' is partially correct for the foreseeable future. politico.com/news/magazine/…
He said that in previous elections under Bashar al-Assad, the people were free to select independents because they had already been security vetted. Independent MPs in parliament also had a margin of freedom to operate under.
In the past 4 years, some MPs became 'troublesome', calling for better living conditions, better salaries, exposing corruption. 'It was all ok then, but under the new circumstances we are living under, the leadership decided to quell any voice of dissent, whatever marginal'
And hence, the parliament, it was decided, had to become 'domesticated' once more. Therefore, many 'troublesome' MPs had to go. Over the past week, the source said, they had 'friendly' visits asking them to pull out of the elections or face certain defeat.
For example, listing the most prominent among many who had those visits. Jeancette Kazan, the Qunaytra MP had been vocal about the rights of the #SAA war injured and the families left behind them. Her electorate dubbed her 'Mama Jeancette'. She had to go.
Omar Awssi, the only Kurdish MP in Syria’s 250-member parliament. He was vocal about the government’s poor performance and even a more vocal defender of the Kurdish cultural rights in #Syria and #Damascus’s careful rapprochement with SDF political arm. He had to go.
Qutaybah Badr, a Baath Party loyalist, who was forced onto the parliament in 2018 to replace a departed MP without any by-elections. He didn’t live up to the expectations and was a vocal critic of the government’s performance. He had to go.
Nabil Saleh, perhaps the most 'troublesome' of all MPs, and the one who spoke most loudly about corruption, warlords, war profiteers and the telecommunication sector. He had to go.
Even Fares Al-Shahabi, the most loyalist of all independent MPs, . His FB posts and TV appearances targeting mainly the Qaterjis and Abu Ali Khodrs of Syria, allies of the 4th Division and IRGC, were not acceptable anymore. He had to go.
But Shahabi didn’t listen. He decided to plough his way through to the parliament despite the warning. In fact, his archnemesis Hussam Qaterji had been given his seat. And so, he went on to expose the “visits” he’d had before the elections.
“The message was clear: Blind allegiance to the growing corruption complex, elimination, or punishment… I regret not bowing out following the ‘comrade’ instructional visit just before the elections, but perhaps it’s because I’m a natural-born fighter.”
With the elimination of 'static and background' noise coming from the parliament, the Damascus contact said that the political leadership will be able to focus more on present and coming challenges without worrying about MPs creating 'public opinion' fusses.
He concluded that the parliament-elect is a prelude to the 2021 presidential elections. “I expect that, unlike in previous elex, President Assad will stand unopposed. We’re back to the 99.99% era and that is, in essence, the message behind all this. A big FU to the Americans'
For a play-by-play analysis on Elex winners and how that fits the larger puzzle, highly recommend this thread
-Rumoured killed so far 40+ #Syria#SNA fighters. Most of whom are with the Sultan Murad Brigade.
- Syrians fighting 'ferocious' mountain warfare in #NagornoKarabakh.
- Injured to be repatriated.
-List has grown to 32 names.
- 15confirmed w/near certainty. (Possibly 17 shortly)
According to one of our contacts, a unit of #Syria#SNA Fighters has been killed fighting in #NagornoKarabakh today. 8 KIA and 2 MIAs.
He's on a family WhatsApp group of one of the dead fighters. A message was sent to explain the case of the officer missing in action. 1/5
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'One of the fighters was martyred. during the assault. The major, and 2 other fighters, went to retrieve his body. On their way back, a shell exploded next to them. The major was injured and a rescue team went to get him' 2/5
An official #Lebanon Customs document proven authentic, circulating on social media, shows that Customs had tried until 2015 to ask the original shipper to re-export the explosive material from Hangar12.
In 2014, the request was changed to either re-ship, or allow the sale to the Lebanese Explosives Company the requests were made up until 2017, stating that action should be taken considering 'its continued storage exposes facilities and employees to severe dangers'.
Investigative journo @riadkobaissi who has been stripping bare the #Beirut port Customs corruption over the past 10 years says that according to the laws, Customs 'didn't have the right to sell off' the cargo because of pending legal issues with the shipping company.
An extremely important thread on the spread of #COVID19 in #Damascus#Syria following lift of quarantine measures, emulating the #Lebanon example detailed by Dr @firassabiad
Al-Sharq al-Awsat's @ibrahimhamidi says 193 deaths were recorded yesterday, Friday, not all, from Covid but certainly many.
@omarsyrianok5 provides more details, says the burial measures are strict. Patients who die in hospital will be taken to the nearest cemetery to be buried there, regardless of family traditions. (bribery still an option to release the body)
Chances are Rami #Makhlouf's life isn't in danger whatever may happen next . He's blood, after all.
The fall of the #Jaber Brothers, whom #Damascus perceived their actions as 'treason' (punishable by death), may be the most recent example.
The Jaber Brothers, once #Syria’s biggest tycoons and most powerful militia leaders, fell precipitously once they crossed red lines.
Tied to the #Assad family through marriage likely saved their lives and their ultimate downfall was limited to public disgrace & financial ruin.
The #Makhlouf saga is reminder that no matter how big a whale you are in #Syria, the megalodon is the apex predator.
Pieced together through insiders, at various intervals, this is the tale of the the fall of the Jaber Brothers, the ‘frog(s) that wished to be as big as the ox’.
Thread: #Damascus source view on the #Makhlouf saga:
“Rami's issues are with Maher Al-Assad and his frontmen, not with the first lady”
Source speculated that the much-publicised spat may be resolved in coming days, though he clarified that this isn't based on any concrete info
Going back to Aug 2019, he explained that in order for Maher to rid of #Makhlouf and replace him in the shadows without much popular backlash, he had to first isolate him from his support base. Therefore, his charities and the Boustan paramilitary forces had to be neutralised.
However, completely shutting down an organisation distributing aid, helping and hospitalising citizens would have incurred the wrath of the people against authorities and those perceived behind the clampdown. Therefore, the charity should still operate but under “new management”.
Thread:
'Covid patient reportedly slipped detection net, mingled freely for 2 weeks in #Damascus'
The brother of a #Damascus#COVID19 patient has apparently confirmed rumours that the illness went undetected for almost 2 weeks, after his brother returned from Spain with his wife
Meanwhile, the unwitting patient, a 73 y.o businessman, was leading an active social life, possibly infecting dozens who came into contact with him.
#Syria Health authorities denied the patient had tested positive for #COVID19, saying it was a heart condition.
But the brother was reacting to the virulent social media attacks against the patient and his family for 'covering' his illness. Something he denies in his FB post.