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*NEW* KRAKEN INTRODUCES STATISTICAL MODEL FOR #BITCOIN HASHRATE

Our findings suggest commonly reported $BTC #mining metrics may be false positives, not reflecting real changes in hashrate.

Check out the details in our latest Intelligence report 👇🧵

blog.kraken.com/post/5719/krak…
2/ Due to an element of luck in finding blocks, the #Bitcoin hashrate as commonly calculated is only an estimate and can depend on the time frames chosen.

Indeed, we found different data providers often report different hashrates for the same day.
3/ We believe a better approach is to analyze the #BTC hashrate using a 95% confidence interval band.

This metric means that, statistically, we can be 95% confident that the true hashrate lies somewhere within the band.
4/ Our findings show this method yields new insights.

For one, larger fluctuations are becoming less statistically significant.

Our work shows #Bitcoin’s hahrate is increasingly less volatile, despite reports of large decline or increases.
5/ Focusing on the long-term trends, our data shows:

+ Hashrate has been stable since the beginning of the year

+ Hashrate has been increasing steadily since early 2018.
6/ For more on our approach and why we believe it’s essential to proper analysis of #Bitcoin’s hashrate, read our full report:

kraken.docsend.com/view/gvyiece7h…

For more free insights and research, be sure to bookmark our Kraken Intelligence blog:
blog.kraken.com/post/category/…
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