Thread by @oldnorthstpol

The NC State Board of Elections has been compiling a report from the various counties about their absentee by mail ballot requests.

Here's a thread of today's data & analysis from 81 out of 100 counties, which makes up 94.8% of 2016's total ballots requested.

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#ncpol

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Today's # of NC requests for absentee by mail ballots: 82,792

Four years ago this same day, the total requested was 17,916.

Currently, 2020 NC ABM requests is 4.6X *ahead* of where we were in 2016.

This nearly 83K represents 36% of the 2016 *total* requests made.

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Of today's nearly 83K requests for NC absentee by mail ballots, party registration breaks down as:

Registered Democrats: 54%
Registered Unaffiliated: 35%
Registered Republicans: 10%
All other parties: 1%

This time 4 years ago:
Reg Dem: 38%
Reg Una: 25%
Reg Rep: 37%

#ncpol

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Of today's nearly 83K NC ABM requests, breakdowns by party registration and voter race:

Traditionally, NC ABM ballots have come from white voters, while in-person ballots are more racially diverse (in-person early ballots tend to be more African American, for comparison).

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Breakdown by age ranges (as created by NC SBE) within the nearly 83K NC ABM requests:

18-25 YO: 7%
26-40 YO: 16%
41-65 YO: 34%
66+ YO: 44%

Typically NC ABMs are from older voters, with some uptick among college age.

Charts of parties by age ranges, and age by parties:

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Breakdown by gender within the nearly 83K NC ABM requests so far (81/100 counties):

Female: 56%
Male: 39%
Undesignated/unreported by voter: 5%

Again, charts of parties by gender, and genders by parties:

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Over 50% of the nearly 83K NC ABM requests so far have come from just 5 counties (out of the 81 which have reported among the 100 counties):

Wake: 15,520 (18.75%)
Mecklenburg: 15,219 (18.38%)
Durham: 5,445 (6.58%)
Guilford: 4,934 (5.96%)
Orange: 3,980 (4.81%)

#ncpol

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Today's total of nearly 83K saw an increase of 9,351 over yesterday's total for the 81 counties (again, these 81 counties were nearly 95% of all the 2016 ballot requests).

As more counties continue to report, the 83K requests is likely an underestimated number. #ncpol

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For those interested, the data file is located at: dl.ncsbe.gov/index.html?pre…

Important note: you must *add* the numbers in the final column, per the various breakdowns, to calculate the numbers.

It is *not* a 'line-entry' report.

#ncpol

Addendum: once ABM ballots are mailed (Sept. 4) & begin to return & processed, we will have a better analysis to report with actual voter information associated with those ballots 'accepted.'

Detailed voter information on ballot *requests* is not given (due to 2018 NC 9th CD).