Thread by @GOPrincess

THREAD 🇺🇸
So, @FloridaDude297 has been dropping his private firm polling of #Election2020 over the last month or so.

I turned his (many) tweets into a data breakdown + projected electoral map.

Here’s what it looks like.

TRUMP: 356
BIDEN: 182

#RedLandslide
@realDonaldTrump

https://twitter.com/floridadude297/status/1289884728393261056

This is the data breakdown - my tally + electoral projection map.

Data is from @FloridaDude297 tweets of his private polling numbers over the last month as he has been releasing data numbers state by state.

TRUMP: 356
BIDEN: 182

States projected to flip REPUBLICAN vs 2016:

Colorado
Minnesota
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Mexico
Virginia

States projected to flip DEMOCRAT vs 2016:

None.

Data: @FloridaDude297 private polling firm

@realDonaldTrump
@GOP

This is projected Electoral College map, with my own hypothetical assumption that every state polling within 5 percentage points goes to Biden.

Still — @realDonaldTrump wins.

TRUMP: 299
BIDEN: 239

Data: @FloridaDude297 private polling firm; polls conducted June/July 2020.

Here is the data breakdown w/ all @FloridaDude297 polling, with my assumption that all states within 5% polling points actually goes Biden (even if Trump is up).

Again, this is my own compilation based on FD poll tweets, compared to 2016.

Still TRUMP WIN.
299-239

#redlandslide

For reference, this is the actual 2016 Electoral College map.

@realDonaldTrump defeated Hillary Clinton 306-232; the electoral vote wasn’t even close. Election was over before we even went to sleep on Election Night 2016.

Tonight, @FloridaDude297 dropped his latest round of nationwide polling.

Here is my latest visual breakdown of his polling data.

As of August 2, 2020:

TRUMP: 342
BIDEN: 175

TOSS UP: 21

@realDonaldTrump WINS. AGAIN.

#MAGA #Trump2020 #KAG

This is my UPDATED spreadsheet data breakdown - my tally + electoral projection map.

Data is from @FloridaDude297 latest tweets of his private polling numbers over the last 1-2 weeks - he released the data numbers state by state earlier today.

TRUMP: 342
BIDEN: 175

TOSS UP: 21

This is projected Electoral College map, with my own hypothetical assumption that every state polling within 5 percentage points goes to Biden.

Still — @realDonaldTrump wins.

TRUMP: 289
BIDEN: 249

Data: @FloridaDude297 private polling firm; polls conducted July/August 2020.

Here is the data breakdown w/all @FloridaDude297 polls, with my assumption that all states within 5% polling points actually goes Biden (even if Trump is 📈)

Again, this is my own compilation based on FD poll tweets, compared to 2016.

Still a TRUMP WIN
289-249

#Trump2020 #MAGA

BIGGEST TAKEAWAYS since last month’s polls from @FloridaDude297....

- HUGE shifts away from Biden, toward Undecided/Other

- 3 States moves to TIE: Colorado, New Mexico, Oregon (that one was a surprise)

- No states projected to move from R in 2016 to D in 2020

#MAGA #Trump2020