1/18 🇸🇪 4th update. Shorter, many aspects are similar to last update, eg age distribution of #covid19 deaths in Sweden -> ca 90% over 70 years old or that ca 70% of those deceased were either care home residents or receiving home care service as can be seen in graph below. + 
2/18 Let’s start with two model projections. First the IHME model which shows that prediction of deaths were far above actual. This is continually worth reminding of because these messages were hammered into our heads by media and the #covid19 opinionados. +
3/18 Equally disastrous were the projections of ICU beds needed, hospitals were predicted to be overrun. Very good for us this did not happen and we kept below max capacity at all times. + #COVID19sverige
4/18 Another model done by J Roclöv et al in April assumed between 15000-35000 deaths by late August with current strategy compared with actual ca 5760 as of now. Their work is updated with “milder” predictions but again, what was the initial message? + medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
5/18 Let’s compare recent five year period deaths all causes as reported by @SCB_nyheter adding average of 2015-2018 as baseline. One can see that 2019 had relatively few deaths and we understand that the average of 2019-2020 is more or less the same as average of 2015-2018. +
6/18 And when looking at age distribution of deaths we see that age group 0-64 is actually below average for the period week 1-31. What if we would allow ourselves to look at a longer perspective during which most of us have been alive? + #covid19sweden
7/18 Now comparing deaths all causes Sweden to Sweden. Let’s add July to the graph (pre figures) comparing deaths all causes October through July, population adjusted. Period comparable to last decade, wouldn’t we say? +
8/18 When we look at January through July we notice that 2015 and 2020 is comparable regarding deaths all causes. #COVID19 +
9/18 And finally we look at March through July, the #Covid19 months one could say. As Next graph will demonstrate April was the worst month regarding deaths. But from April we have fortunately seen a decrease and are now below the average of 2015-2019 as shown in next graph +
11/18 Rolling three months also show peak behind us and now into rapid decline. But we still did not surpass peaks of earlier decade +
12/18 What would 20 year average and trend based on 20’year data show us? Trend is showing increased longevity but we have seen similar amounts of deaths last 20’years based on average + @TTBikeFit
13/18 It’s also important to understand the regional aspects. Often we speak of Sweden and #covid19 whilst it is almost +40% of deaths in Stockholm. And Skåne, neighbour with Denmark, have seem deaths per million on similar levels. +
14/18 This graph looks at deaths all causes stratified by age group in order to take into account population increases in different age groups. Week 1-30, looks to me to be on pairs with previous 6 years.
15/18 Nobody knows what autumn will hold for us. But we can collectively decide whether we continue this global madness where globally the true victims are our children who are sacrificed on the alter of fear.+
16/18 And before you go ‘But what about....’ I’ll add these few aspects here 👇🏽 and also have a look at @InProportion2 as well👌🏼+
17/18 listen to @carlheneghan @SunetraGupta @ProfKarolSikora @MLevitt_NP2013 prof. John Ioannidis, Beda Stadler and Sucharit Bhakdi. Highly recommended and extremely enlightening. Besides these top scientists you’ll find valuable information from equally enlightened individuals +
18/18 Such as @aginnt @FatEmperor @boriquagato @TTBikeFit @Brixton_Ben26 @EthicalSkeptic @TLennhamn @MarkChangizi @kerpen and many many more that you’ll find via these accounts. See previous thread here👇🏽, new thread above👆🏽/you have reached the END
