We have now passed the peak of the 2nd wave and all metrics "very gradually" are falling: daily deaths, patients in critical conditions, Qom's admitted or Tehran's daily admissions, even deaths among health professionals. All falling albeit slowly.
[Current Outlook/2]
In a few days I will have an analysis of the 2nd wave but generally, the 2nd wave was much worse due to no lockdown this time. It took ~3 months from the early start to the peak.
[Current Outlook/3]
Now we have started to get only "a couple" of news regarding resurgence of the numbers in areas where it had already gone down a month ago such as Bushehr. Whether this is a worrying trend or just a random event we need to see.
#important Bear in mind, all provinces affected during the 1st wave in the end got heavily involved during the 2nd wave although with a noticeable delay. Whether this is due to waning immunity or simply affecting the rest of the population, we do not know.
[Current Outlook/end]
So all that remains is whether authorities will skip this year's Moharram/Ashura ceremonies. If they do, I expect numbers to gradually fall down and we reach the 2nd nadir in a month.
Ground reports from Tehran hospitals confirms the situation has indeed improved. My contacts in Khuzestan also confirm that the numbers are at pre-2nd wave levels.
After flower oil, camel's urine, wasp's sting now is the time for unveiling Salt. This "specialist" says "I have this salt shaker in my pocket and when I see someone coughing, I just use it" [how?? sniffing it??]
It then, however, turned out to be the work of Islamic Republic's own intelligence ministry. They finally accepted that an "autonomous cell" within the ministry led by Saied Emami had gone rogue and planned and executed the attack.
With that in the back of Iranian minds, terrorist attack on Shah Cheragh shrine in Shiraz was immediately dismissed as the work of the Islamic Republic itself, especially considering the timing (protests).
But it is undeniable that ISIS has claimed responsibility and released π
Today, dozens of cities around the world will witness human chains of Iranians extending for miles.
This has been planned for London too, sadly I do not feel well enough to go.
After weeks and weeks of reactive handling of the protests in the hope of them fizzling out, today the regime is planning to use today's burial procession of Shiraz terrorist attack victims to take the initiative back again.
IRGC Commander again declared the end of protests.
As you can see from the images above, even for a neutral event where everyone would condemn such cowardly terrorist attack (and I do too), the regime failed to bring masses to the street.
Believe me I chose busiest pics, check them for yourself.
#BREAKING The country is in turmoil and it feels like the regime is losing the grip - which is not necessarily good news since this might mean we enter a military phase.
People are reported to be in control of Town of Mahabad in Kurdistan
Funny thing is that taghvim.com website used commonly by Iranians says today is 30th of Rabi al-Awwal. All other calendars say today is 1st of Rabi-ali-Thaani.
It cannot be ISIS!
My Arab followers, can you please tell me what day it is according to Hijri calendar?
Some calendars I found say 28th, some 29th, some 1st ...
#IranProtests2022 5th week of incessant protests (29th day) starting today with reports of ongoing protests in Karaj, Rashst, Hamedan and Shahinshahr.
It is 1:30 PM local time.
This is students today in Sanandaj.
In Ardabil where a high school student was allegedly beaten to death (we have not yet been able to confirm or disprove) protesters have clashed with the security forces.