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🚨 The private sector added only 1.0 million jobs in August, down from 4.7 million in June and 1.5 million in July. That suggests the jobs recovery is slowing down. #JobsReport 🚨
If we sustain the current pace of recovery, it will be a full year before private sector employment returns to pre-Covid February levels. If the pace of recovery continues to slow, the crisis could drag on for several years.
The median duration of unemployment continues to rise. It is now 16.2 weeks, up from 13.7 in July and 8.6 a year ago.
The number of people on temporary layoff fell substantially from 9.4 million to 6.2 million, but the number of so-called permanent job losers rose from 2.9 million to 3.4 million as an increasing number of temporary layoffs turned permanent.
Most of the private sector job gains (984K) were in service-providing industries, including those worst hit by the #Covid crisis.
The industries with the largest gains were:
Retail trade - 249K
Professional and business services - 197K
Leisure and hospitality - 174K
Education and health services - 147K
More than half of the gains in professional and business services were in temporary help services (106.7K)

More than half of the gains in health and education services were in doctor's offices (75K)

Most of the gains in leisure and hospitality were in restaurants (133.6K)
Several industries continue to be pummeled by #Covid:

- Oil & gas extraction (-1.1K) & support activities for mining (-0.9K)
- Auto manufacturers (-5.3K)
- The advertising industry (-1.9K)
- The office industry, or facilities support services (-2.5K)
- Travel agencies (-2.9K)
The industry losing the most jobs now, 6 months after the crisis began, is the nursing home industry, the epicenter of the health crisis. Nursing and residential care facilities lost 13.7K jobs in August.
State government education also shed 3.9K jobs at a time when we should he hiring more teachers to reduce class sizes and reopen schools safely, not fewer.
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More from @juliaonjobs see all

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Julia Pollak
@juliaonjobs
#JOLTS report shows signs of recovery:
- 5.4 million job openings, up from 5.0 million last month
- 6.5 million hires (a series high due to rehires of workers on temporary layoff in April)
- Quits rate edged up 1.6%
While the number of hires overall hit an all-time record high in May due to rehires of workers on layoff, the number of hires hit an all-time record low in State and Local Government (excluding education) of 70K, down from the more typical 156K in February.
Despite anecdotal evidence and WARN notices indicating elevated numbers of layoffs in May, the #JOLTS report says there were just 1.796M layoffs and discharges, which is about the average for the past two years.
Read 5 tweets
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Julia Pollak
@juliaonjobs
1/ Blacks are 12.3% of total employed, but 16.4% of people employed in justice, public order, and safety activities, according to the Current Population Survey. bls.gov/cps/cpsaat18.h…
2/ Blacks, especially women, are overrepresented in the U.S. military (except black men in the @USMC, strangely). There are nearly as many black women as white women in @USArmy, even though there are 5 times as many employed white women as black women in 🇺🇸cfr.org/article/demogr…
3/ I had assumed the opposite and was going to suggest that increased diversity in recruitment could help alleviate racial bias in the police force and military and improve public perceptions. But it turns out these institutions are already some of the most diverse in the nation
Read 4 tweets
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Julia Pollak
@juliaonjobs
1/ Thread on U.S. responses to pandemics over the decades

TL/DR: On every occasion, the U.S. was slow to recognize problem and respond; either overestimated or underestimated the risk; experienced massive setbacks that delayed response; often escaped due to sheer luck
2/ 1918-19 Spanish influenza causes 675K U.S. deaths, reduces U.S. life expectancy by 10 years. President Woodrow Wilson says nothing, does nothing, fails to stop WWI troop transports, clamps down on freedom of speech. Catastrophic underreaction.
3/ 1976 H1N1 outbreak at Fort Dix. Pres. Gerald Ford’s health secretary predicts 1 million U.S. deaths. Ford rushes mass vaccination program without adequate testing. Turns out outbreak at Fort Dix was totally isolated and threat was massively overestimated.
Read 8 tweets

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