AstraZeneca just halted their vaccine because of an adverse reaction. This is a really BIG deal. An important thread about the latest on reactogenic vaccines for #Covid19 from first party sources, along with upcoming public health issues on vaccines that are coming now fast. 1/
People need to know all current coronavirus vaccines are what’s called “reactogenic” vaccines—all are “expected“ to cause adverse reactions, especially excessive immunological responses, associated signs, symptoms. Pain and fever. Much more w these candidates than flu vaccines 2/
How do we distinguish an adverse reaction and do active surveillance? With the disinformation / misinformation that comes w/ vaccines. To build active surveillance for adverse reactions will require enormous resources—i.e. what’s normal vs what is not in course of it “working” 3/
Because of what we’re seeing they do seem to be more reactogenic than what people are used to. So called Grade 3 reactions - hospitalized - Moderna’s caused this too. CDC/NIH, other orgs who will be vocal alongside this may be viewed as controlled by public / private sector. 4/
Even when we have vaccines that work, what is the national health plan? Who gets immunized when and where? Will we have a National sciences report where they recommend? Will be interesting to see who puts this in practice. Applies in U.S. and everywhere. 5/
Wonder if it’ll be decided by NHS. So far the US federal response to anything Covid19 related has been appallingly lacking, which is the sad part of this whole pandemic. Good ppl muzzled. Robust public health communication is the job of a unified federal approach, *not* states 6/
In the *end* the politicians will be right about the disease: that we’ve been victorious. But I really hate to see public health history being made like this. For those annoyed by that too the future will show the truth, regardless of what people find politically advantageous. 7/
Maybe reactogenic is in part a good thing, because your immune system is in overdrive. And it’ll be fine. TBD. But it’s gonna be much more than what people are used to. Meaning effective vaccines are going to hit some people very hard for coronavirus. 8/
When people see that a disease is bad, people will tolerate a lot. So to some extent people who are afraid will go in and get a vaccine. But the most newsworthy news prior to AZ’s news today for adverse reactions was the person from Moderna. 103 fever. Very bad reaction. 9/
The truth is that some doctors in this space thought this was amazing in itself because some thought biggest risk was that coronavirus vaccines weren’t going to work *at all*. But the administration figureheading CDC...says they’re gonna roll out November, that’s just INSANE 10/
You have to believe we are further out - on getting a vaccine - when you see these major adverse reactions in phase 3 trials like AstraZeneca. And when they do complete much more testing in further phases, all of these undiscussed issues I highlighted above, they still apply. 11/
I’m still so amazed by how many people think this is less than the flu. I wonder how many people will see that risk calculation differently going forward when they see more pain and suffering and see - and finally believe - real numbers like this attached. 12/
Vaccine trust and confidence and public information—it’s a big topic. What should we anticipate as they start being rolled out? It’s really a huge concern. There will clearly be nation-state interference - bots will throw discord (not just in one way or the other, in both). 13/
We will only see this truly ramped up when vaccines are available. But people need to know now this is going to more than a flu vaccine. Reactogenic vaccines - by their nature - are going to cause a polarization people have not yet seen with Covid19. /End

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More from @stevecheney

15 Mar
Super alarming. Breakout of “respiratory” related illnesses in NYC clearly related to #COVID19 viruses.

This is a thread about how to interpret the sudden appearance of respiratory infections in NYC and how that can serve as a model for the rest of the country. 1/9
This is nyc.gov data. Above is screenshot of today’s chart. You can see respiratory emergency visits going out of control—note the massive spike, also note this data is 3 days delayed. Track this daily going forward. 2/9
Site to access the data:

Click data point for “respiratory”.

You can also click “influenza like illness” - also spiking. Hospitals don’t know how to classify incoming patients without Covid-19 tests (but they know). 3/9

a816-health.nyc.gov/hdi/epiquery/v…
Read 9 tweets
1 Nov 19
1) Some thoughts on Fitbit: this is a cheap acquisition (1.5x sales) but will do little for Google. Google’s overall hardware strategy is still inferior to Apple’s. I actually wrote about this last week in ‘Why Semiconductor Development Matters’

stevecheney.com/on-the-future-…
2) AirPods Pro with ‘AR audio’ reveal this best. Why? Because Google can’t and will never be able to build integrated SoCs — AirPods show this today, but the lack of UWB (for spatial awareness) in the new Pixel best exemplifies how they are still 2-3 years behind.
3) But people can’t see this yet... The next consumer hardware platform (read The Internet’s Next Act) will require a total rewiring of how bits adjust to atoms. You have to lay the groundwork with hardware (chips) 2-3 years ahead.

stevecheney.com/on-the-interne…
Read 4 tweets
28 Apr 19
1. Wrote about the future of self-driving cars (alternative title: ‘Why LiDAR is a Myth’) and why image processing innovation will help it subsume this market (autonomous vehicles). There are system-wide reasons (sw / hw / data processing). stevecheney.com/on-the-future-…
2. Tesla’s and Waymo’s (and startups’) challenges are multi-dimensional. All are racing to get to consumer cars, build the tech, find distribution and avoid strategy taxes. But it’s going to become clear everyone will ditch LiDAR within 3 years.
3. LiDAR will not fail because it’s expensive in isolation, but because image recognition will be ‘as good’ and no one will make money off trying to create solid state LiDAR (very tough problem).
Read 4 tweets
29 Aug 18
1/ Excited to share the most profound product Estimote has ever imagined. It’s unparalleled in the market—a tiny LTE-m GPS device that can locate itself down to a meter and lasts for years on a battery. Full product info here and a few use-cases live below blog.estimote.com/post/177348177…
2/ Hilton and other large hospitality chains have deployed this as a life-saving device to locate housekeepers who push its panic button when in distress—important for new safety regulations and literally capable of saving people’s lives
3/ As a locatable wearable for patient care, healthcare providers can quickly find patients inside a large hospital with ease—simply push the alert button and help arrives
Read 7 tweets

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