UK in a Changing Europe Profile picture
Sep 16, 2020 16 tweets 8 min read Read on X
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First, @BBCkatyaadler says the general consensus is that if a solution on state aid can be found - a big if - then everything else would be likely to click into place in trade negotiations. #isolationinsight
.@D0Sullivan 'Accusations of bad faith are the last refuge in trade negotiations. The EU view is that a deal is still possible ... but something broke last week that will not readily be fixed'. #isolationinsight
.@D0Sullivan 'There will be no problem with food exports from the UK to Ireland ... the EU is not asking for anything different than for any other third country'. #isolationinsight
.@BrunoBrussels: 'The issue of SPS and food standards does seem to have flared up ... but we are at that stage in talks where people throw their toys out of the pram.' #isolationinsight
.'@BrunoBrussels: 'Quota numbers for fish will always be decided last ... with listings of over 100 species affecting at least 8 member states'.
.@BBCkatyaadler 'The internal market and state aid are big problems ... but everyone needs to take a step back. The EU thinks Boris Johnson will want a deal, and the EU definitely still wants a deal'. #isolationinsight
.@anandMenon1: 'A deal is still possible. This is partly a matter of geopolitics. The spiral of mutual recriminations from no deal would sour relations with the EU and the EU27 for some time' #isolationinsight
.@BBCkatyaadler: The EU's main concern is the protection of the single market - and being seen to be protecting the single market.
@BBCkatyaadler: 'If the Internal Market Bill row is designed to create political space for the UK government to make. concessions, it is unpleasant but so be it' #isolationinsight
.@anandMenon1 'Virtually everything this government is doing at the moment is tactics. It is hard to discern the outline of strategy. It is quite reactive and doesn't seem to have thought-through, longer-term plans'. #isolationinsight
.@D0Sullivan: 'You should not underestimate the shock there is about the tactic being used ... things being said about the EU that are unfair and untrue ... and rewriting a treaty when the ink is barely dry. It was the wrong stick to try and use'. #isolationinsight
.@BrunoBrussels: 'If there is no sign of a deal by the end of October, both sides will have to start talking to each other much more frankly about what happens'. #isolationinsight
.@BBCkatyaadler: Member states are appalled by the Internal Market Bill, but are leaving Brexit in the hands of Michel Barnier for now. #isolationinsight
.@D0Sullivan: 'What I worry about is that for Brexiteers, leaving is insufficient. This worries me. One benefit of Brexit was that we do not need to have a debate with Brexiteers about how evil the EU is. We need to get to a point where we are good neighbours'. #isolationinsight
.@anandMenon1: no deal would be deeply damaging and scarring, and would have a spillover diplomatic effect beyond our relationship with the EU. And we are going to be in a long-term negotiation with the EU for many years to come. #isolationinsight

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More from @UKandEU

Jun 18
📢 PANEL 1: Northern Ireland

👥 Our first panel has begun, with @DPhinnemore, @hayward_katy, Martin Fraser @IrelandEmbGB, & @jillongovt.

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Read this #ThursdayThread to find out more!🤳
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Jul 14, 2021
Our #AcademicintheSpotlight series promotes academics producing thought-provoking work on the UK’s changing relationship with the EU. This week, we feature @fiona_costello – who works on the @EUmigrantworker project at @cambridgelaw.

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@fiona_costello's research looks at the impact of Brexit on EU nationals in the UK, and how these problems are being resolved by community advice organisations.

Watch this to find out more ⬇⬇

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Feb 3, 2021
Our next #IsolationInsight event on 'The Future of the EU' is about to start

Speakers:

@HelenHet20
@simonjhix
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Watch LIVE here:

We'll be live-tweeting from this thread...
.@simonjhix: "In the medium term, Brexit is a challenge to the EU. There will be a UK model of exit."

"At some point, the UK model will seem quite attractive, which could be politically very difficult for the EU."
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"Instead, it was seen as a potential long-term threat to the EU's credibility."
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Sep 24, 2020
Yesterday we released a NEW report #WhatWouldNoDealMean.

And, you've guessed it, this report is the subject of today's #ThursdayThread. 🧵

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.@BorisJohnson has said that no deal with the EU would be a “good outcome” for the UK.

This report highlights what it would mean in terms of trade, fisheries, connectivity, the impact on citizens, Northern Ireland, economics, security, foreign policy, politics and more.
On #trade, the two sides would revert to #WTO rules.

We’re talking tariffs, customs checks, and regulatory checks. In other words, increased hassle, increased time and increased costs for businesses trading with the EU.

@CSBarnard24 explains.
Read 14 tweets
Sep 23, 2020
Our BRAND NEW report on what no deal would mean is out today

Our experts are giving a briefing on the report this morning...

(Thread)

ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/upl…
. @jillongovt: "No deal now is not the same as last year because the financial settlement, citizens' rights and Northern Ireland were dealt with in the Withdrawal Agreement."

#NoDealBrexit
. @jillongovt: "There could be extensive disruption at the UK-EU border."

"Lots of #Brexit officials were redeployed to #Covid_19 and some things are running late."

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Read 14 tweets

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