$GSR Gold to Silver fibonacci madness

three legs down - every leg had a clear retrace to 0.382 (last had a spike to 0.5) - we are ready Image
$GSR Gold to Silver fibonacci madness

structure is valid to spot bottoms

unfortunately measuring the extensions to find tops upfront i find nothing. Image
$GSR top spotter March-August PM leg
ultimate targets where defined by the first 1-2 down Image
If this structure repeats we could nail the top to the tick.

If...

We can measure soon.

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More from @TheLastDegree

25 Oct
for new followers, we are looking at 2.5 years of big compounding % in #gold #silver stocks, mostly in the juniors

since April 2019, we made 400% in the first 2 violent upwaves (sept 2019 & july 2020)

(1)
we started goldventures.org which outlines are our leveraged & leveraged PF in detail, no investment advice

currently long "movable" assets

8.6Million in 60 junior positions (90% silver, 10% gold)
1.2Million in leaps on Silver majors

(2)
and physical, now 85% silver (1000 kilo) and 15% gold

no uranium, no copper, no wheat, no BTC

while all commodities and crypto's will do great, we focus on monetary metals for 100%

(3)
Read 5 tweets
29 Sep
what's coming (1)
The last few months, we broke ath’s.

We saw some press articles popping on SI & GC, also in very mainstream papers.

We got first awareness.

on Belgium public national radio: you lost 13% on savings accounts over 10Y

reactions: the move is probably done
what's coming (2) When silver breaks 30 next, and gold goes beyond ath’s:

FOMO will kick in on a very different level.

Momentum will mount to another scale. wave 5 scale, which is still missing and the only reason I have my seat early

I am expecting a major first top coming
what's coming (3)

after this 2 year run, bigger than we might imagine.

Most expect a longer consolidation, but expect it fast & not so orderly.
It’s doesn’t matter, I am positioned for both.

made 400% in the last 15months, expecting the same next but in HALF the time
Read 5 tweets
12 Sep
THE chart of the WE (1)

if we are heading for high inflation due to monetary policy, without economic growth, we should dig deeper on the $gold cycles of the 70ties.

and not, what most analysts are doing, expecting the same cycle behaviour of the 2001-2011 bull market
THE chart of the WE (2)

during the 2001-2011, we had clear +-6 month intermediate cycles. (@badcharts) showed it in a podcast 9 months ago. 3-5 monthly white candles followed by 1-3 red candles, repeating forever.

or 12-20 upweeks, 4-12 downweeks.
THE chart of the WE (3)

Now look at this. #gold trading behaviour during 1976-1980

4 years long, we NEVER exceeded 8 correction weeks.
that's massive.
don't get left behind guys😉

retweet this log chart.
Read 5 tweets
23 Aug
Tradeplan/Bias: PM are hugely bullish, currently in consolidation/correction mode.

My main models are starting to 'line up'.

i have been sleepless last few days putting all variables into a tradeplan that covers different scenario's.
Any drop to $GDX 37-39 would cover my hedges. (all together)

i see a 90% probabilty we get further corrective action, only the path (direct, fast) or pennant (longer fustrating) is very troubled.

(2)
My preferred scenario would be a fast drop scenario, with a flat month after and a soft retest on lower volatility. That would align all methods.

Correction in price directly, correction in time after.
Metals could trade slightly lower, while miners find bottoms next 1-2 weeks
Read 8 tweets
20 Aug
on my next leveraged long (thread)

i will be focussing on #silver and #silver majors miners - going all-in with call options (no spreads, i need unlimited upside)

timeframe to get in: within 2-7 weeks
#silver just had an EW wave 3.

after this correction, we should get the most powerfull advance, a wave 5. These can take very long, as they subdivide in another 5 waves

conclusion: around 40% in SLV calls
next #silver targets will depend on this correction and can be set after we have a low in place (evolving dynamics)

if we take 21 (also retest of the 2016 highs) for now to work with, my targets are $42 to $55
Read 8 tweets
5 Aug
How to trade this #gold bull market the coming years.
(thread)

6month’s old bull, it’s KEY to look back if any assumptions into how to trade this $silver $gold bull market can be adjusted & improved, as we just have the 1st inning of a lifechanging event.
Some key takeaways. In April, I made the assumption volatility in the biggest monetary debasement since WOII would be the hardest thing to handle from a trade execution part:



Which makes option trading far less interesting than holding penny stocks.
So 1st big conclusion: we went 90% all-in on junior penny stocks, kept only 10% in options;

Juniors are lifetime options without timevalue.

Avoid majors and midtiers for maximum upside, BUT spread out to a lot of positions.

Results are extreme, yesterday another 9.27%
Read 8 tweets

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