JayEnAar Profile picture
Sep 26, 2020 7 tweets 4 min read Read on X
This is of course - how most politely to put it - poppycock. Yes, the official so-called active cases count is dropping but that is not because India has the epidemic under control. New cases, officially, are at 85 k plus per day, deaths at 1100 a day.
Unofficially, of course, no one has a clue what the real numbers are. This is just the kind of false optimism and pseudo-science that today's Lancet editorial is all about. India is shoring up big real problems.
thelancet.com/action/showPdf…
This fetish with recovered cases is a peculiar affliction of those who want to put a falsely positive spin on the #epidemic. #Coronavirus infection is an illness that naturally recovers, (unless it kills). Recovery does not mean a bounce back to vigorous health for 10-15% of..
cases who suffer the long term sequelae of #LongCovid. If we wait long enough we'll have zero active cases. But the path to that #PyrrhicVictory over #Covid - a #nirvana of sorts - will be strewn with misery, a shattered economy, deaths and the morbidity of #longcovid.
This is the reality, 83,562 new #Infections last 24 hours, total infected to date 5.9 Million, 93k deaths . And that is just the officially reported numbers. #India accounts for 18% of the World's #Coronavirus cases (and 17.7% of the World's population), we're pulling our weight Image
This is India's epidemic curve, the only one that matters. Image
And this chart of time trend of cumulative cases and daily cases. Image

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More from @GorwayGlobal

Mar 11
This #50WordEdit from @ShekharGupta really takes the biscuit. He seems to have swallowed the usual Govt hype and self-praise about the recently concluded India-EFTA trade deal, and its description as a 100 billion USD deal. Let's delve behind the deal a bit shall we? Image
I presented an analysis of this deal in this twitter thread done a few weeks ago when it was still under negotiation.
But to reiterate a few points:
EFTA may have Europeean in its name - European Free Trade Association - but for avoidance of doubt it is not the European Union. EFTA is a customs area of 4 countries, Switzerland, Norway, Lichtenstein (a tiny city state of a mere 40,000 people)
Read 11 tweets
Dec 21, 2023
Tucked away in the new Bharatiya Nagrik Suraksha Sanhita is Sec 148, under which a policeman can order
"any assembly of five or more persons ..to disperse;..." They need not be doing anything wrong. It's enough if the policeman thinks it is likely they will. Image
If they don't disperse as commanded, Sec 148(2) provides for the policeman to call up members of the public to assist him in making them disperse (These could potentially be goons from some saffron dal). Image
Sec 149 provides for the DM to summon the help ofthe army to disperse the crowd of 5 or more people. Image
Read 4 tweets
Dec 19, 2023
I think the Opposition is missing a trick. Instead of sitting on the steps to some side entrance into Parliament, they should run a 'parallel' parliament session. debating issues, considering bills clause by clause and passing resolutiions maybe even voting down bills.
It'll have no effect of course but it would make for good theatre. Put it on @YouTube. Invite journalists and experts for select committe style enquiries into policy issues, I am sure there'll be enough volunteers to provide secretarial support.
After all the suspended MPs come from almost all parts of India. Many are well-versed in Parliamentary procedure and language. Some are constitutional, legal and public finance experts. They could put on a greart show of erudition and elocution with humour and grace
Read 7 tweets
Oct 24, 2023
I currently have family over from India, on a visit. Educated, well off. Totally unaware of current affairs; claim they never bother with news, neither TV nor magazines. But that doesn't mean they have no opinion on issues that matter. So for instance, they assert that:
1. After 70 years in which nothing happened, India is suddenly now a world power.
2. By 2050, Muslims will take over India.
3. Hindus are discriminated against in favour of minorities esp Muslims and Christians who have the upper hand because of past vote-bank politics.
All these assertions crumble under cross examination.
"So they say.. on WhatsApp.. we don't know if true or not, but why take a chance.. " is the constant refrain.
It is maddening and frustrating. Logical fact based counter argument gets you nowhere.
Read 6 tweets
Sep 19, 2023
India has officially rejected @JustinTrudeau's allegation. They had no other option. They could hardly have said, हमने कनाडा में घुस के मारा साले को.
From the moral high ground it once occupied, India has been reduced to the level of Pakistan which routinely issued such denials.
This is a foreign policy failure for which I blame the weaponisation of the #GodiMedia which has been encouraged to turn every official statement of the Govt into a Modi MasterStroke.
The Private conversation between Mr Modi and Mr Trudeau should never have been broadcast.
Instead, the Indian side leaked it that the Indian prime minister had "read the riot act" to his Canadan counterpart about Sikh separatism, Godi Media outlets presented this as India's moment in the world soon after a successful #G2Lotus summit to act tough and muscular.
Read 7 tweets
Jul 1, 2023
A Thread.
Met a retired banker in my local temple. Lives in #Bengaluru. Visiting daughter's family in Essex. She's 'in software'. After the usual where? How long? he volunteers the opinion, "too many Blacks and Muslims in Britain"
I replied, "They're immigrants too just like us"
"We are all here, your daughter and most of us Hindus here in this Temple, black people from Africa n the Caribbean, Muslims from India and Pakistan and whats now Bangladesh, etc bec. of Empire. We're all from ex-colonies. We're all the same, aren't we".
He pondered a bit, found someone else more interesting, and moved on. The irony is that when we struck up a conversation, we each (incl my 7 y old grandson) had a plate of delicious Sambhar and rice and soji halwa. He had expressed the view that the 7y old would not eat rice.
Read 7 tweets

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