Thread: #writing Sometimes people ask me "how do you write so much," but I don't see it as writing a lot, I cover a few subjects consistently and develop ideas and connect dots by doing so; I view my writing as kind of open-ended books and I'm just adding a chapter a week;
That isn't to say I don't put a lot of work into articles, some articles are based on months of research, but while I'm doing that I'm learning other details that often work for shorter pieces, maybe a sentence in a larger piece could be developed into a whole different article
I'm not trying to be "prolific"...I have a lot of energy, I like to focus on writing, and I have a lot of ideas and I'd prefer to get them on paper as it were than have them come and go. One downside though is that I'm less in the field because of the lockdowns, so there's that.
When I write I hyperlink everything and I keep a list of all sources used and unused, even block text I might want later; this comes from my experience in academia and PhD work as a historian...always sourcing..and I can easily go back to it for future pieces;
I have memory and obsessive quality that is driven to compile information, so I like to make lists and timelines, charts and excel sheets; and then extrapolate the information; I followed the Covid numbers in every MidEast state for months; and every rocket attack in Iraq etc.
When you have a mind that is obsessed with details like that it can also make writing come faster because you already have the details, the facts, to work into a piece or pieces, you don't need to reinvent the wheel, just add to it each time.
One thing I learned also is about the tragedy of interviews, which is that you do long interviews and only end up using a few quotes. That doesn't mean I don't do them, but there is an inherent tragedy in the space considerations of many articles.
What am I working on these days?
-UAVs, drone technology, defense tech (Israel mostly)
-Middle East regional alliance system changes
-Iran, Turkey and their proxies
-Erosion of US power and rise of regional states
-Kurdistan region, KRG
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Thread: If Iran judges that the conflict in Armenia and Azerbaijan is creating any instability in Iran or stoking ethnic tensions, it will move quickly to secure a ceasefire via work with Ankara and Moscow based on the Astana model. Those talking about "Turkey vs. Iran" are wrong
Why are they wrong? Because the hidden deal between these countries, who may not always share interests, is no stoking tensions inside sovereign borders of the other. For instance Russia is wary of extremists, Turkey of PKK, Iran of ethnic tensions;
The idea that the conflict which Turkey encouraged between Azerbaijan and Armenia might be used in any way to weaken the Iran regime will stop immediately if Tehran feels this way through quick calls to Ankara and Moscow.
Thread: I see these odd debates, mostly among westerners, about whether something is "jihadist"...it reminds me of the old debates about what kind of "Marxist" people were...it views "jihadist" as some academic reality, when the reality on the ground is not so simple, or binary
It also reminds me of the debates in the US about what group is "far right" or "white supremacist"...in the end what we are talking about is groups in the Middle East on a spectrum of far-right extremism as well, some of whom are genocidal.
It misses a key aspect, which is that groups may profess some ideology, some worldview...but the people that join and leave the and move in their circles and commit crimes sometimes for these ideologies, are not so doctrinaire.
You can see more details of the same system here;
Here;
and here:
This setup of three in a layer, nine total on a truck is interesting;
The full Azerbaijan music video can be seen here; Azerbaijan has been purchasing Israeli drones for many years and celebrated their use. These systems function more like a cruise missile and can loiter over a target for hours; with precision capabilities;
Making beef stew today at #chezfrantzman; we add a number of ingredients such as onion, garlic, carrot, thyme, potato; dash of flour, ketchup, Worcestershire sauce, tomato, cumin, cloves
Working on this data for a while @MidEast_Center ; a preliminary list of rocket and IED attacks in Iraq over the last two months, since July 21, 2020. These attacks came as US handed over facilities but now resulted in US threatening to close Baghdad Embassy; now attacks on KRG
The "IED" section is for the attacks on the convoys and may be IEDs or most other types of attacks on convoys;
I presented it this way to see not only how often the attacks take place but also so we can see the two types. This week there was a rocket attack in Baghdad that killed a family, a rare attack on Erbil from Nineveh plains and also an apparent rocket attack on a convoy.
Today #BREAKING the Israel Missile Defense Organization (IMDO), in the Directorate of Defense R&D (DDR&D), of the Israel Ministry of Defense, delivered the first of two Iron Dome Defense System batteries to the U.S. Army.
Defense Minister, Benny Gantz: “The Iron Dome system, as a part of [Israel's] multi-layered missile defense system, reflects the strength of the Israeli defense establishment..I am proud that this advanced system will also protect U.S. Army troops."
In August 2019 the United States and Israel signed an agreement for the procurement of two Iron Dome Defense System batteries (IDDS-A). The first battery was delivered in record time, and the second battery will be delivered in the near future within the framework of the agreemnt