To describe anything as "Trump's Economic Dream Comes True" even pre-pandemic is rewriting an awful lot of the history of confident statements about 3% growth--with John Taylor being the most prominent economist making those predictions.
wsj.com/articles/trump…
wsj.com/articles/trump…
Gary Cohn, as NEC Director, predicted 4% growth with total confidence. washingtonexaminer.com/trump-adviser-…
Randall Stephenson (then Chair of the BRT and ATT CEO), said he saw no way the tax cut passes and we don't get 3% growth--again total confidence. (Quick search failed to find the quote, if anyone has it please share.)
The Trump Budgets all predicted 3% growth rates. They also had a potential growth forecast in the tenth year that was 1.0 pp above the Blue Chip. Under Bush, Clinton and Obama the potential forecast was never more than 0.1 pp above the Blue Chip. 
I got pushback from them for my piece saying we wouldn't get 3% growth. I wasn't even blaming Trump, just explaining the consensus view of all forecasters except the above that demography would keep us from this goal. vox.com/the-big-idea/2…
The actual growth rate in the two years since the tax cut was 2.4 percent (that is through 2019-Q4, so pre-pandemic). It was also 2.4 percent in the two years leading up to the tax cut.
You can't infer anything about the impact of the tax cut let or Trump's more broadly by looking at realized growth rates which are affected by many factors.
But that is the test Cogan and Taylor set out in their piece & they have to lower the bar to argue that he cleared it.
But that is the test Cogan and Taylor set out in their piece & they have to lower the bar to argue that he cleared it.
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