FL's EV has a lot of initial good news for Dems. The main thing I'm focusing on is turnout of registered Dems per county. In several key counties, Dems are near or past the half way mark to a 75%-80% turnout rate.
Here's a sampler: Blue/Purple counties that are close to or above 40% turnout of registered Dems (half way or better to a 75%-80% turnout): Palm Beach, Hillsborough, Pinellas, St. Lucie, Monroe, Alachua, Broward, Osceola.
In addition, other blue/purple counties are at least 40% of the way to a 75%-80% turnout target: Miami Dade, Leon, Duval, Seminole. These counties will probably cross the half way mark by tomorrow (or tonight).
In the top red counties, registered Dems are largely outperforming their blue county Dem counterparts in terms of turnout percentage. Many are near or past the half way mark to get to a 75% turnout (37.5% turnout of registered voters or better).
A sample of red counties where Dems are performing well, getting 40% turnout or better thus far includes: Pasco, Lake, Polk, Volusia, Brevard, Sarasota, Sumter, Collier, Lee, St. Johns & Martin.
So while the GOP will do some catching up over the weekday portions of in person EV, I think the number to focus on for Dems is really the turnout of their own registered voters. On that front, Dems are off to a very solid start.
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