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23 Oct, 4 tweets, 2 min read
This is very true from Declan - "Beveridge" has become a shorthand for progressive reform in contemporary debate - it's important to look at what he actually proposed in that report and why - and what wasn't actually implemented...
Crucially in the post-war UK system the rate of National Insurance jobless benefit was never set high enough to prevent poverty (despite what Beveridge wanted) which meant that the separate means tested system often kicked in and never withered away (as Beveridge expected)....
...there's more on this in the @indypremium piece...independent.co.uk/independentpre…
....but Noel Whiteside, the historian at Warwick, is extremely detailed and useful on all this:

cairn.info/revue-histoire…

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More from @BenChu_

Ben Chu Profile picture
23 Oct
THREAD ON UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS AFTER COVID

Recall this in the PM’s conference speech last month?

“In the depths of WW2, in 1942 when just about everything had gone wrong, the government sketched out a vision of the post-war new Jerusalem that they wanted to build”…1/
…What was Johnson referring to?

Answer: the 1942 Beveridge Report on reforming social insurance.

It was massively popular, selling 600,000 copies and giving Britain a vision of a better country after the war…2/
…Johnson is not, as far as we know, planning to reform welfare.

But many say the pandemic creates the need for a “New Beveridge”.

What might it look when it comes to social insurance?…3/
Read 14 tweets
Ben Chu Profile picture
6 Oct
There's a bit of puzzle about this government's capital spending announcements.

They're committed to spending quite a lot more - getting it to 3% of GDP in the next couple of years... 1/
...And yet ministers keep re-announcing old capital spending, trying to pass of re-allocated underspends as new spending (see @IFS here)...2/

ifs.org.uk/publications/1…
...or announcing spending that manifestly doesn't come close to meeting what they say they're doing. See today's £160m for offshore wind or the recent £3.7bn for 40 new hospitals (estimated cost £500m each)...3/

independent.co.uk/environment/bo…
Read 7 tweets
Ben Chu Profile picture
4 Oct
Rather ironic - if all those positive coronavirus tests missed since 24 Sep and *reported* today had actually *occured* today we'd be tracking ABOVE that much criticised 7-day doubling time projection that Patrick Vallance showed in his 21 Sep presser slide:
Obviously that's not what's happening.

Here's the current picture looking at cases by specimin date, not reported date - and comparing it to a 7 day doubling trend from 15 September:
Though, as many people are pointing out, the reliability of *any* of the data on cases from the government seems questionable now given testing/data processing problems - probably best to pay more attention to survey data from @ONS and @imperialcollege
Read 5 tweets
Ben Chu Profile picture
17 Jul 19
NEW: Sources at Channel ferry companies have confirmed to @BBCNewsnight that they will NOT allow any UK truck bound for the Continent to board after a no-deal Brexit without FULL new required documentation...
...put this together with previous @BBCNewsnight revelations that two thirds of relevant UK exporters have not even got to STAGE ONE of no-deal preparation (applying for an EORI number)...bbc.co.uk/news/business-…
..and you have recipe for those feared long queues and traffic gridlock leading to UK ports...bbc.co.uk/news/uk-englan…
Read 7 tweets
Ben Chu Profile picture
28 Mar 19
Remember those 40 European Union free trade deals that the Trade Secretary Liam Fox said would be rolled over by this week ensuring continuity of trade for UK exporters even if we experienced a no-deal Brexit?...
....as we know only eight of those 40 have actually been concluded (though a ninth was announced last week)...
....which is obviously bad news.

But @BBCNewsnight has further bad news about the eight deals that the Trade Department has actually got over the time...
Read 5 tweets
Ben Chu Profile picture
17 Jan 19
Thread on Philip Hammond and the end of the no deal risk

1/ The Chancellor sought to reassure business leaders immediately after the colossal Parliamentary defeat of the Withdrawal Agreement on Tuesday night that the UK would not crash out of the EU with no deal on 29 March....
2/ So how did he do this when, as the likes of Jacob Rees-Mogg and other hardline Brexiteers tell us, the law says we must leave on that date even if there is no deal?...
3/ Hammond pointed to the amendment being put forward by the Tory backbencher Nick Boles along with others and described it thus...
Read 8 tweets

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