Joey Ickes Profile picture
27 Oct, 21 tweets, 4 min read
I did this exercise in the #groupchat last week...

Let’s rebuild this DAL roster...

🗣 Longest Thread EVER me!
Let’s look at the offense first bc this is easy..

For 2021 at positions that contribute you will have returning players at:

QB1-4
RB1-21
RB2-20
LT-77
LG-52
C-63
RG-70
RT-71
OT3 - 69 (nice)
iOL3 - 66
X - 13
Z - 19
F - 88
WR4 - 11
TE1 -89
TE2 - 86
So that means you need QB2, another iOL depth player, and some competition for Steele as OT4. And that’s pretty much it.

Those guys are all pretty easy to find, so in other words you’re pretty much set on that side of the ball.
Defense is where it gets interesting... I’m gonna use a 4-2-5 Nickel bc that’s base:

You have:
LDE - 90
DT - 72
RDE - 94
ILB - 55
ILB - 54 (more in a min)
Boundary CB - 27
Slot CB - 30
Then you have the list of guys who we don’t really know what they’ll be moving fwd but who SHOULD get a lot of run the rest of 2020, with the possibility of earning big roles for 2021 and beyond:

Anae, Hamilton, Gallimore, Bernard, Wilson, Robinson etc...
In addition to those guys you have:
NT2 - 99
DE4 - 92
Then there’s the 54 conversation... they can release him”post June 1” in the first 4 days of the 2021 league year and save $7.2m...

IMO their decision re: this player will set the tone for the entire 2021 season.

I would cut him so that’s our assumption here
So for that Nickel look you need:
DT
ILB
SS
FS
Boundary CB

and for other pkgs you also need
NT1
Base DE
CB4
S3

Yes that’s a LOT. So we start up front bc DL >>>
My primary initiative at DE is re-sign Aldon Smith, shouldn’t be crazy expensive, and can be that base DE, & adds some interior rush flex.

If he goes elsewhere: guys like Ryan Kerrigan, Trent Murphy, Justin Houston etc, can be 1 year answers.
Inside, there are just an insane number of guys available...

Start with the fat guys:

Snacks
Dalvin Tomlinson
Poona Ford
Jonathan Hankins
Mike Pennel
Would all be NT1 upgrades
At the other DT you can either pay big-ish $$ for
Suh
Leonard Williams
Sheldon Rankins
Larry Ogunjobi
Tyson Alualu

Or pay not as much for:
Gerald McCoy
Maliek Collins
Personally, I would probably add Snacks, Pennel or Hankins at NT, and add back Gerald McCoy at the other DT and aim to use a draft pick there if there’s a point any time a DT is one of the best players at any pick you have.
LBs dont matter, but someone has to play there... so let’s move the 2nd level.

Wanna spend some $$:
LaVonte David
KJ Wright
DeVondre Campbell

Wanna spend less:
Kevin Pierre Lewis
BJ Goodson
Anthony Walker Jr
Tahir Whitehead
Damien Wilson
Reggie Ragland
And more
My plan would probably be something like BJ Goodson or Reggie Ragland and plan on spending a pick late day 2-early day 3...

Throw Bernard, Gifford, the FA and the pick into camp and let the best guy start.

You MIGHT be able to convince me to add Rueben Foster for MFer factor
Now to the DBs... let’s start w/ SAF

There are a lot of guys here available:

Wanna spend some $$:
Justin Simmons
Marcus Maye
Anthony Harris
Marcus Williams

Wanna spend a little less:
Karl Joseph
Jaquiski Tartt
Keanu Neal

Wanna take a HR swing for not much $$:
Malik Hooker
I would probably do something like Tartt and Hooker, and plan on spending a relatively high pick on this spot too if it falls the right way.
The one spot I don’t feel great about the opportunity to get in FA, is that other starting Boundary CB...

Those guys usually cost pretty big $$ in FA, and that’s a spot that you wind up missing on a lot bc techniques and coverage preferences vary from team to team so much.
But you can’t go into the draft with a massive hole there, so you have to do something in FA...

If he doesn’t re-sign in SF, I would try like crazy to sign Jason Verrett... but it may have to be a Bashaud Breeland, or Kevin King...

Then my plan would be to take CB top of rd 1.
So that gives me the following defense:

Edge:
Tank
Aldon/Kerrigan/Murphy
Gregory
Anae

DT:
McCoy
Hill
Pennel/Snacks
Woods
Gallimore

LB:
LVE
Goodson/Ragland/Foster
Bernard
Gifford
4th rd Rookie
S:
Tartt
Hooker
Wilson
Robinson
2nd rd Rookie

CB:
Diggs
Verrett/Breeland/King
Brown
1st rd rookie
Day 3 rookie
This won’t make you a top 5 defense in one year, but with a sound scheme, this group probably gets you to the top half if the league, and this only includes 4 draft picks in a year where you’re likely to have 3 top 75 picks and another 3 in the next 50 picks.

Fin.

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More from @JoeyIckes

19 Feb
The thing that absolutely too few people understand regarding the Dak situation right now, is that Dak literally has ALL the leverage.

Let’s talk about why...

Thread Me #afterdark
First of all, Dak knows that barring an absolutely catastrophic injury, he is guaranteed between $60-70M over the next two years just by playing on the tag 2x.
He also knows that it’s extremely unlikely DAL will tag him 3rd time bc that winds up being like $50m+ in 2022. So worst case scenario for him, is he makes ~$60M in 2020-2021, and then signs somewhere in FA for like $45M a year w/ $150M gtd in 2022.
Read 11 tweets
21 Aug 19
Thoughts on the Jaylon contract, and the press conference etc...

🗣Thread me!!!!
First of all, and we’ve known this for a long time, Jaylon is a cat who just “gets it”. From a long term value stand point, and from a time value of money stand point, as he said in the presser “Cash is King”.

He views himself as a business man and he’s incredibly smart.
In that vein, there isn’t a CEO in this country or the world who won’t take Jerry Jones’ call, and Jaylon gets that. He knows even if it’s not for “endorsements” if he needs a business relationship facilitated, he has the best resource in the world in his corner in Mr Jones.
Read 16 tweets
11 Feb 19
Alright let’s dive into this and break this down...

You know where this is headed...

🗣THREAD ME!!!!
Ok so Todd projected a 6-year $168M extension with $68M gtd...

Dak basically has a $2M cap # in 2019.

For the sake of our analysis we’ll assume a $45M signing bonus which will be the ball park amount.

So effectively we have a 7 year $170M contract with $70M gtd.
Let’s imagine it looks something like this...

The 6 NEW years on the deal are $28M per yr. but adding the 7th yr at only $2M means it’s effectively $24.2M per year.

That = VALUE for Dak...

But it goes even deeper...
Read 10 tweets
18 Jan 19
By the way, we have already seen the beginnings of the groundwork being laid for the Cowboys to stand pat on a terrible offensive scheme going into 2019....

Thread me for how it goes down...
First we hear about how they don’t know for sure if there are any real “upgrades” available, and how they “don’t want to make change for the sake of change bc we did some good things on offense in 2018”
Then we hear “maybe they’re waiting to make a move as a courtesy” to the guy potentially on the outs, so he can find work...
Read 9 tweets
23 Oct 18
Re : Amari...

I don’t love giving up a 1st rd pick ever, but I am extremely happy with the fact that they deviated from a nearly decade long trend of over valuing their draft picks in relation to active NFL players.
Also this represents a departure from their philosophy of leaning too heavily on only one leg of the roster building stool, which has often left them unbalanced and hanging on for dear life to stay competitive.
This likely means we are most certainly looking towards Dak finishing his contract as the starter, since the most straightforward path to replacing him now resides in OAK, but the easiest excuse for them to use for his struggles is now gone as well.
Read 7 tweets

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