Thread by @FLAHAULT

1/9 - Switzerland - Oct. 30 to Nov 05 - Surge in #COVID19 activity at high levels (R-eff=1.29) with high levels of mortality
7 cantons detailed
Data: zh.ch/de/politik-sta…
renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience

2/9 - Geneva will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.36) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at very high levels, with high to very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.

3/9 - Zürich will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.30) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high levels, with low levels of mortality, for 7 more days.

4/9 - Vaud (Lausanne) will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.32) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at very high levels, with high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.

5/9 - Basel Stadt will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.37) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high levels, with very low levels of mortality, for 7 more days.

6/9 - Bern will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.35) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high levels, with medium-high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.

7/9 - Ticino will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.34) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high to very high levels, with high to very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.

8/9 - Neuchâtel will be experiencing a rapid and worrying surge (R-eff=1.25) in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at very high levels, with very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.

9/9 -
Safety zone: nb of forecast cases/day < 4.29/100K pop
Mortality assessment:
Very low mortality: nb of forecast deaths/d < 0.05/100K pop
0.05 < Low mortality < 0.10
0.10 < Medium mortality < 0.20
0.20 < High mortality < 0.50
Very high mortality > 0.50